Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	16:45	Disney+
Asia	—	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Azerbaijan	23:45	CBC Sport
Belgium	20:45	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	16:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
China	03:45	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	Disney+
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
Georgia	23:45	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	20:45	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	03:45	M Plus Live
Hungary	20:45	Match 4, Net4+
India	01:15	GXR World
Indonesia	02:45	Vidio
Israel	21:45	Sport 3
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	ART Sport 2
Macao	03:45	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:45	Disney+
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV7
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	22:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 3
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	22:45	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United Arab Emirates	23:45	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Usa	14:45	CBS, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+
Vietnam	02:45	ON Plus
International	19:45	Disney+, Onefootball, Prima+ app, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Bologna		Venezia

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.6
	1.85	3.45	4.45	Watch
	1.87	3.47	4.84
	1.9	3.43	4.61	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.5
	1.92	3.54	4.71	Watch
	1.88	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.58)	3.44 ↓ (4.13)	4.59 ↓ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
51.2%

Draw
27.9%

Venezia
20.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.5%

23.1%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

22%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bologna's form might have worsened.

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bologna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Venezia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.6%	18.9%	7.5%

Bologna - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 38 - 74.5%). Venezia will win (votes: 3 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 19.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 62.5% – 86.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Skorupski L. (G) 29. De Silvestri L. (C) 31. Beukema S. 26. Lucumi J. 33. Miranda J. 8. Freuler R. 6. Moro N. 11. Ndoye D. 21. Odgaard J. 10. Karlsson J. 9. Castro S.	35. Stankovic F. (G) 4. Idzes J. 30. Svoboda M. 33. Sverko M. 27. Candela A. 32. Duncan A. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 5. Haps R. 11. Oristanio G. 6. Busio G. 20. Pohjanpalo J. (C)
Substitutes
23. Bagnolini N. (G) 15. Casale N. 16. Corazza T. 24. Dallinga T. 30. Dominguez B. 5. Erlic M. 80. Fabbian G. 19. Ferguson L. 2. Holm E. 14. Iling Junior S. 22. Lykogiannis C. 7. Orsolini R. 3. Posch S. 34. Ravaglia F. (G) 82. Urbanski K.	15. Altare G. 19. Bjarkason B. 12. Bruno (G) 79. Carboni F. 22. Crnigoj D. 97. Doumbia I. 80. El Haddad S. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 23. Grandi M. (G) 9. Gytkjaer C. 45. Raimondo A. 21. Sagrado R. 25. Schingtienne J. 10. Yeboah J.
Coaches
Italiano V.	Di Francesco E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Ndoye D. (Pen),
27', Sverko M. 🟨,
29', Busio G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Haps R. ↓, Ellertsson M. E. ↑,
50', De Silvestri L. ↓, Holm E. ↑,
52', Duncan A. ↓, Yeboah J. ↑,
64', Karlsson J. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
64', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Orsolini R. (Pen),
71', 3 - 0, Ndoye D. ⚽, Orsolini R. (A),
75', Sverko M. ↓, Altare G. ↑,
75', Yeboah J. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
84', Ndoye D. ↓, Dominguez B. ↑,
84', Odgaard J. ↓, Urbanski K. ↑,
87', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Raimondo A. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Recent matches Bologna is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Venezia is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Venezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bologna is a favorite.

There will not play in Bologna: Aebischer M. (Muscle Injury) Cambiaghi N. (Knee Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Knee Injury) Ferguson L. (Knee Injury) Pobega T. (Red Card)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bologna won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Bologna won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
UEFA Champions League
27.11.24	Bologna - Lille	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
24.11.24	Lazio - Bologna	3:0 ✺
10.11.24	Roma - Bologna	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.24	Bologna - Monaco	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.11.24	Bologna - Lecce	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWLW
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
25.11.24	Venezia - Lecce	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Venezia - Parma	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Inter Milan - Venezia	1:0 ✺
30.10.24	Venezia - Udinese	3:2 ✺
27.10.24	Monza - Venezia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
08.05.22	Venezia - Bologna	4:3
21.11.21	Bologna - Venezia	0:1

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