Match Info

Serie A - Round 34

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 4, ESPN
Armenia	20:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	02:00	beIN Connect
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Bolivia	12:00	ESPN 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	13:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
Chile	12:00	Disney+
China	00:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	11:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play
Ecuador	11:00	ESPN 4
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	18:00	DAZN France
Germany	18:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	12:00	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	00:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	18:00	Arena 4
Indonesia	23:00	ANTV, Vidio
Iraq	19:00	Almanasa, Al Rabiaa Sport
Israel	19:00	ONE Sport 2
Italy	18:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	01:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:00	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	19:00	Shasha
Macao	00:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	00:00	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	10:00	Disney+
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	04:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Norway	18:00	VG+
Paraguay	12:00	ESPN 4
Peru	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 4, ESPN
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV2
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	19:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	19:00	STC TV
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	18:00	Sport 1
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	18:00	SuperSport Football
South Korea	01:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	23:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	17:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	19:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
United Kingdom	17:00	DAZN
Uruguay	13:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Vietnam	23:00	TV 360, VTVcab
International	16:00	Starzplay Sports app


	Bologna		Roma

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.55	3.25	2.18
	3.58	3.35	2.25
	3.53	3.31	2.19	Watch
	3.6	3.1	2.05
	3.88	3.26	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (2.91)	3.25 ↓ (3.27)	2.15 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
26.1%

Draw
29.5%

Roma
44.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29.1%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

29.2%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bologna's form might have worsened.

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bologna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	45.8%	41.7%

Bologna - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 3 - 13%). Roma will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 47.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.4% – 68.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ravaglia F. (G) 5. Fauske Helland E. 26. Lucumi J. 14. Heggem T. 17. Joao Mario 8. Freuler R. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 33. Miranda J. 7. Orsolini R. 11. Rowe J. 9. Castro S.	99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. (C) 5. Ndicka E. 22. Hermoso M. 19. Celik Z. 8. El Aynaoui N. 4. Cristante B. 43. Wesley Franca 18. Soule M. 61. Pisilli N. 14. Malen D.
Substitutes
28. Cambiaghi N. 73. Castaldo F. 29. De Silvestri L. 30. Dominguez B. 82. Franceschelli M. (G) 22. Lykogiannis C. 6. Moro N. 21. Odgaard J. 25. Pessina M. (G) 4. Pobega T. 23. Sohm S. 41. Vitik M. 20. Zortea N.	3. Angelino 70. De Marzi G. (G) 21. Dybala P. 92. El Shaarawy S. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 2. Rensch D. 12. Tsimikas K. 78. Vaz R. 20. Venturino L. 97. Zaragoza B. 24. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
Italiano V.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Malen D. ⚽, El Aynaoui N. (A),
45+1', 0 - 2, El Aynaoui N. ⚽, Malen D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Miranda J. ↓, Zortea N. ↑,
46', Castro S. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
46', Celik Z. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
46', Hermoso M. 🟨,
61', Hermoso M. ↓, Ghilardi D. ↑,
61', Soule M. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
66', Joao Mario ↓, De Silvestri L. ↑,
66', Rensch D. 🟨,
69', El Aynaoui N. 🟨,
77', Malen D. ↓, Dybala P. ↑,
77', Orsolini R. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
77', Fauske Helland E. ↓, Vitik M. ↑,
90+4', Pisilli N. ↓, Ziolkowski J. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Roma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Roma has had a series of home games.

Roma might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Bologna: Bernardeschi F. (Hip Injury) Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Casale N. (Injury) Dallinga T. (Injury) Skorupski L. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Kone M. (Muscle Injury) Pellegrini Lo. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AS Roma	9	6	3	0	23:8	15	21
11	Bologna	9	3	2	4	12:12	0	11

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AS Roma: 12.27% Bologna: 0.24%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
19.04.26	Juventus - Bologna	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.04.26	Aston Villa - Bologna	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
12.04.26	Bologna - Lecce	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.04.26	Bologna - Aston Villa	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
05.04.26	Cremonese - Bologna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
18.04.26	Roma - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Roma - Pisa	3:0 ✺
05.04.26	Inter Milan - Roma	5:2 ✺
22.03.26	Roma - Lecce	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Roma - Bologna	3:4 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Roma - Bologna	3:4 ET
12.03.26	Bologna - Roma	1:1
Italian Serie A
23.08.25	Roma - Bologna	1:0
12.01.25	Bologna - Roma	2:2
10.11.24	Roma - Bologna	2:3
22.04.24	Roma - Bologna	1:3
17.12.23	Bologna - Roma	2:0

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