The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Verona 47.8%
Draw 26.4%
Spezia 25.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.5%
26.3%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
26%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50.8%
28.6%
20.6%
Verona - Spezia Predictions
Users Predictions:
63 users predict this event. Verona will win (votes: 32 - 50.8%). Spezia will win (votes: 13 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 28.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Verona: 38.5% โ 63.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 17).
Verona has the most likely position - 19 (14.11%), has project points - 34, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (41%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Spezia has the most likely position - 19 (16.31%), has project points - 33, has currently - 10, has a chance of relegated (47%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality52, importance52, match rating52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Verona won 4.
Verona has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Spezia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Verona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Verona will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Spezia: Gyasi E.
(Injury)
Kovalenko V.
(Injury)
Reca A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Verona: Coppola D.
(Injury)
Cortinovis A.
(Injury)
Faraoni D.
(Injury)
Hrustic A.
(Ankle Injury)
Piccoli R.
(Injury)
Last 11 head-to-head matches Verona won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Verona won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.
Bulgaria
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