Match Info

Serie B - Round 32

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia)

Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Vila Nova		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.85	3.8	Watch
	2.10	3.00	3.50
	2.12	2.92	3.6	Watch
	2.16	3.18	3.92
	2.13	3.04	3.76	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.75
	2	3.23	3.72	Watch
	2.13	3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.1)	3.04 ↓ (3.05)	3.71 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
44.3%

Draw
30.6%

Cuiabá
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

30.6%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

30.5%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vila Nova - Cuiabá Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Vila Nova (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Vila Nova (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vila Nova will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Helton Leite (G) 22. Hayner 3. Tiago Pagnussat 4. Douglas Mendes 6. Higor 5. Joao Vieira 15. Dudu 17. Everton Galdino 10. Marquinhos Gabriel (C) 99. Janderson 7. Andre Luis	1. Joao Carlos (G) 13. Joao Basso 5. Calebe Costa 4. Vitor Mendes 2. Igor Inocencio 30. Raul (C) 20. David Miguel 36. Lorenzo 41. Kauan Cristtyan 77. Jean Dias 90. Fabio Gomes
Substitutes
14. Anderson Jesus 29. Dalberson (G) 49. Dellatorre 31. Dodo 70. Emerson Urso 21. Higor Meritao 16. Igor Carius 9. Lincoln 20. Nathan Camargo 11. Ryan 13. Willian Formiga 8. Willian Maranhao	12. Busatto G. (G) 11. Eliel 14. Eric Melo 26. Joao Silva 91. Luis Soares 97. Luiz Otavio 96. Pedro H. 7. Ramon 27. Rodrigo Rodrigues 29. Vinicius Peixoto 70. Wesley Dias 53. Weverson
Coaches
Guto Ferreira	Barros E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Barros E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Higor 🟨,
59', Janderson 🟨,
64', Everton Galdino ↓, Lincoln ↑,
64', Dudu 🟨,
66', Calebe Costa 🟨,
70', Fabio Gomes ↓, Pedro H. ↑,
75', Janderson ↓, Ryan ↑,
76', Andre Luis ↓, Emerson Urso ↑,
76', David Miguel ↓, Wesley Dias ↑,
76', Jean Dias ↓, Rodrigo Rodrigues ↑,
76', Dudu ↓, Higor Meritao ↑,
84', Emerson Urso 🟨,
89', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Dodo ↑,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Serie A Betano and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 1.

Vila Nova is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Cuiabá is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Vila Nova is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Vila Nova: Breno Augusto (Knee Injury) Dellatorre (Muscle Injury) Rafa Silva (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Cuiabá: Alan Empereur (Inactive) Joao Basso (Inactive) Marcelo Carne (Injury) Marcos Junior (Inactive) Pepe (Inactive).

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Vila Nova has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:14 (averaging 1.2:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vila Nova against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:4 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Vila Nova FC: 22.76% Cuiaba: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Vila Nova FC	32	17	7	8	44:31	13	58
10	Cuiaba	32	11	14	7	32:25	7	47

Last Results with these Odds

Vila Nova - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.47%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
03.10.26	Botafogo SP - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
25.09.26	Vila Nova - Londrina	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Vila Nova - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
14.09.26	Avaí - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
10.09.26	Vila Nova - Goiás	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWTW
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
03.10.26	Cuiabá - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	CRB Maceio - Cuiabá	3:0 ✺
21.09.26	Cuiabá - Náutico Capibaribe	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
08.09.26	Cuiabá - Athletic Club	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
14.06.26	Cuiabá - Vila Nova	1:0
24.09.25	Vila Nova - Cuiabá	2:2
26.05.25	Cuiabá - Vila Nova	1:0
Brazilian Copa Verde
11.05.24	Cuiabá - Vila Nova	4:3 penalties
17.04.24	Vila Nova - Cuiabá	2:0
22.03.23	Cuiabá - Vila Nova	1:1
15.03.23	Vila Nova - Cuiabá	0:2

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