Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 19 January 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)

Referee: Neves G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Vilaverdense		Académico de Viseu

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	1.95
	3.6	3.2	1.93	Watch
	3.75	3.3	2	Watch
	3.58	3.52	2.06
	4.3	3.35	1.98
	3.5	3.3	1.85
	3.83	3.4	1.96	Watch
	3.6	3.2	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↓ (4.04)	3.3 ↓ (3.47)	1.96 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
24.6%

Draw
28.1%

Académico de Viseu
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

27%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

26.5%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Vilaverdense - Académico de Viseu Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vilaverdense will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Viseu will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Viseu: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Santos R. (G) 26. Batista J. 27. Freitas C. 3. Laercio 12. Maviram E. 5. Sako M. 88. Neves L. 10. Soares A. (C) 8. Joao Caiado 7. Teixeira G. 11. Bruno Silva	75. Gril D. (G) 3. Pinto J. 4. Almeida A. (C) 22. Nduwarugira C. 66. Milioransa I. 6. Messeguem S. 80. Welch J. 7. Yuri Araujo 88. Marquinho 11. Ott G. 33. Andre Clovis
Substitutes
82. Cajo (G) 17. Fati N. 70. Hanne B. 6. Konate B. 19. Lopes A.	28. Bandarra M. 77. Gomes H. 14. Kaua Vinicius 30. Labila D. 51. Momo Mbaye (G) 17. Pereira R. 20. Petkov S. 55. Silva T. 21. Simonsen J.
Coaches
Machado S.	Simao J.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 9).

Recent matches Vilaverdense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Viseu is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Viseu will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vilaverdense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
14.01.24	Vilaverdense - Feirense	2:1 ✺
06.01.24	Penafiel - Vilaverdense	2:1 ✺
21.12.23	Torreense - Vilaverdense	3:1 ✺
17.12.23	Vilaverdense - Leixões	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Marítimo - Vilaverdense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLWL
- Académico de Viseu
Portuguese Liga 2
14.01.24	Marítimo - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
06.01.24	Académico de Viseu - Leiria	1:0 ✺
30.12.23	Leixões - Académico de Viseu	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Académico de Viseu - Torreense	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Mafra - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
13.08.23	Académico de Viseu - Vilaverdense	1:1

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