Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Villa Dálmine		San Martín de Burzaco

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.8	3.4
	2.32	2.65	3.7	Watch
	2.34	2.43	4.03	Watch
	2.3	2.62	3.6
	2.33	2.74	3.64
	2.32	2.65	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.3)	2.65 ↓ (2.84)	3.68 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Dálmine
40.3%

Draw
34.7%

San Martín de Burzaco
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

32.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

33.1%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Dálmine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Villa Dálmine - San Martín de Burzaco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perafan M. (G) 4. Puch M. 2. Pollacchi M. 6. Bojanich G. 3. Ramon E. 7. Schonfeld A. 8. Garzino F. 5. Fernandez J. 10. Resquin M. 11. Ponzo T. 9. Sellecchia F.	1. Rehak G. (G) 4. Escudero M. 2. Molina B. 6. Diaz S. 3. Siliman A. 11. Geneiro L. 5. Benitez F. 8. Ortigoza M. 7. Camejo F. 10. Auzqui D. 9. Chavez B.
Substitutes
16. Albano V. 14. Carlucci V. 17. Costantino F. 18. Forlani S. 15. Gualtieri G. 19. Oro P. 12. Oviedo G. (G) 20. Pumpido F. 13. Zalazar D.	18. Camejo J. 15. Denis K. 12. Figueroa J. (G) 13. Huichulef J. 14. Mackay G. 16. Molina D. 17. Morales M. 20. Moreira L. 19. Sergi L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Diaz S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Camejo F. ↓, Camejo J. ↑,
65', Puch M. ↓, Pumpido F. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Chavez B. ⚽,
68', Molina B. 🟨,
70', Chavez B. ↓, Sergi L. ↑,
70', Auzqui D. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
72', Resquin M. ↓, Gualtieri G. ↑,
72', Fernandez J. ↓, Albano V. ↑,
80', Ponzo T. ↓, Oro P. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Albano V. ⚽,
86', Benitez F. ↓, Mackay G. ↑,
86', Geneiro L. ↓, Molina D. ↑,
88', Ortigoza M. 🟨,
90+4', Molina B. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 6).

Recent matches Villa Dálmine is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SM de Burzaco is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Villa Dálmine will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Villa Dálmine won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Dálmine won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera B
22.03.25	Sacachispas - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Merlo	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Sportivo Dock Sud - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Villa Dálmine - Villa San Carlos	3:2 ✺
22.02.25	Real Pilar - Villa Dálmine	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLTWT
- San Martín de Burzaco
Argentinian Primera B
22.03.25	San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Flandria	1:0 ✺
17.03.25	Fénix - San Martín de Burzaco	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Laferrere	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Liniers - San Martín de Burzaco	5:0 ✺
24.02.25	San Martín de Burzaco - Comunicaciones	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
04.08.24	Villa Dálmine - San Martín de Burzaco	0:0
15.03.24	San Martín de Burzaco - Villa Dálmine	1:0

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