The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villa Dálmine 62.4%
Draw 23.4%
San Martín de Burzaco 14.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.3%
27.7%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
27.4%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa Dálmine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa Dálmine's performance.
San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Martín de Burzaco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Dálmine that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Martín de Burzaco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Villa Dálmine - San Martín de Burzaco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rojas J. (G) 4. Gamba L. 8. Garzino F. 9. Paez M. 11. Ponzo T. 10. Prim S. 3. Ramon E. 7. Resquin G. 5. Solis M. 6. Spampinato P. 2. Zurita M.
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 9. Chavez B. 8. Denis K. 11. Gauna N. A. 5. Gonzalez R. 6. Lazarev R. 4. Lezcano L. 2. Orellana D. 3. Siliman A. 10. Velazquez R. 7. Zagert E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Escudero M. (Own goal),
42', Ponzo T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Segura T. 🟨,
60', Segura T. ↓, Gauna N. A. ↑,
61', Rodriguez J. ↓, Denis K. ↑,
70', Escudero M. 🟨,
73', Solis M. 🟨,
75', Prim S. ↓, Nizzo M. ↑,
75', Resquin G. ↓, Gargiulo V. ↑,
75', Escudero M. ↓, Centurion C. ↑,
90+3', Solis M. ↓, Molina J. ↑,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Primera B Promotion - Playoffs and 11th).
Villa Dálmine is Qualified for Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs ).
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Villa Dálmine carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Villa Dálmine has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 0.6:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Villa Dálmine against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Villa Dalmine ✔
41
18
14
9
40:27
13
68
11
San Martin Burzaco
41
12
15
14
41:46
-5
51
Last Results with these Odds
Villa Dálmine - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 49.26%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
San Martín de Burzaco - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 23.03%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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