Match Info

Date: 29 April 2021, Thursday


	Villarreal		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.8
	2.5	3.3	2.85
	2.63	3.3	2.88
	2.55	3.15	2.75
	2.64	3.3	2.89
	2.55	3.1	2.88
	2.68	3.28	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.49)	3.25 ↓ (3.32)	2.85 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
37%

Draw
29.4%

Arsenal
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.8%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

21.5%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villarreal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55%	26.6%	18.3%

Villarreal - Arsenal Predictions

Users Predictions: 109 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 60 - 55%). Arsenal will win (votes: 20 - 18.3%). It will Tie (votes: 29 - 26.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 45.7% – 64.3%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg. No spectators.

Villarreal was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, was already of semis, has a chance of final (44%), has a chance of win league (19%).

Arsenal was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, was already of semis, has a good chance of final (56%), has a chance of win league (25%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Villarreal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
25.04.21	Villarreal - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
21.04.21	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	2:1 ✺
18.04.21	Levante - Villarreal	1:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.04.21	Villarreal - Dinamo Zagreb	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
11.04.21	Villarreal - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWL
- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
23.04.21	Arsenal - Everton	0:1 ✺
18.04.21	Arsenal - Fulham	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.04.21	Slavia Prague - Arsenal	0:4 ✺
English Premier League
11.04.21	Sheffield United - Arsenal	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.04.21	Arsenal - Slavia Prague	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTWWT

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