Match Info

LaLiga - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo)

Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Celta de Vigo		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.7	3.55	5.4	Watch
	1.72	3.68	5.5
	1.7	3.65	5.37	Watch
	1.73	3.4	5
	1.79	3.7	5.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.63)	3.58 ↓ (4.15)	5.36 ↑ (5.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
55.5%

Draw
26.7%

Real Oviedo
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

22.9%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

22.1%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Celta de Vigo - Real Oviedo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Celta de Vigo will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Celta de Vigo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Radu I. (G) 14. Nunez A. 4. Aidoo J. 20. Alonso M. (C) 17. Rueda J. 8. Lopez F. 15. Vecino M. 5. Carreira S. 36. Antanon A. 18. Duran P. 19. Swedberg W.	13. Escandell A. (G) 22. Vidal N. 2. Bailly E. 12. Calvo D. (C) 25. Lopez J. 15. Fernandez T. 6. Sibo K. 23. Fonseca N. 7. Chaira I. 5. Reina A. 9. Vinas F.
Substitutes
10. Aspas I. 11. Cervi F. 24. Dominguez C. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 12. Fernandez M. 7. Iglesias B. 9. Jutgla F. 29. Lago Y. 3. Mingueza O. 6. Moriba I. 22. Sotelo H. 1. Villar I. (G)	27. Agudin P. 24. Ahijado L. 3. Alhassane R. 17. Borbas T. 16. Carmo D. 8. Cazorla S. 11. Colombatto S. 4. Costas D. 14. Ejaria O. 10. Hassan H. 1. Moldovan H. (G)
Coaches
Giraldez C.	Almada G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Reina A. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Vinas F. ⚽, Chaira I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vecino M. ↓, Moriba I. ↑,
46', Antanon A. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
56', Lopez F. 🟨,
57', 0 - 3, Vinas F. ⚽, Fernandez T. (A),
60', Duran P. ↓, Iglesias B. ↑,
60', Nunez A. ↓, Mingueza O. ↑,
60', Swedberg W. ↓, Jutgla F. ↑,
66', Fernandez T. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
69', Fonseca N. 🟨,
74', Fonseca N. ↓, Colombatto S. ↑,
74', Reina A. ↓, Costas D. ↑,
83', Chaira I. ↓, Alhassane R. ↑,
83', Vinas F. ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
90+2', Hassan H. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Oviedo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Celta has had a series of away games.

In this match, Celta is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Celta: Alvarez H. (Injury) Ristic M. (Injury) Rodriguez J. (Yellow Cards) Roman M. (Foot Injury) Starfelt C. (Injury)

There will not play in Oviedo: Dendoncker L. (Injury) Fores A. (Injury) Ilic L. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Celta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Celta Vigo: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8:6	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
UEFA Europa League
09.04.26	Freiburg - Celta de Vigo	3:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
05.04.26	Valencia - Celta de Vigo	2:3 ✺
22.03.26	Celta de Vigo - Deportivo Alavés	3:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Lyon - Celta de Vigo	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
15.03.26	Betis - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWLWT
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
05.04.26	Real Oviedo - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Levante - Real Oviedo	4:2 ✺
14.03.26	Real Oviedo - Valencia	1:0 ✺
09.03.26	Espanyol - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
20.12.25	Real Oviedo - Celta de Vigo	0:0

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