Match Info

LaLiga - Round 36

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal) 🌤️ ...

Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Argentina	14:00	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	19:00	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	21:00	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	19:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	14:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	13:00	TSN+
Chile	13:00	DirecTV Sports
China	01:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	19:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	20:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	19:00	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	19:00	TV2 Play
Ecuador	12:00	DirecTV Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	20:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	21:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	19:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	20:00	Nova Sports 4
Hong Kong	01:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 3
Hungary	19:00	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	22:30	FanCode, FanCode, GXR World
Indonesia	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, RCTI+, Vidio
Iran	20:30	Aio Sport
Italy	19:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kosovo	19:00	ART Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Laos	00:00	beIN Connect
Macao	01:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	22:00	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	19:00	TSN Malta 8
Mexico	11:00	Sky Sport
Moldova	20:00	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	19:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	05:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean
Norway	19:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	12:00	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	19:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	18:00	DAZN 1
Romania	20:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	19:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	01:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	19:00	Voyo
Slovenia	19:00	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	19:00	SuperSport Football
South America	—	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South Korea	02:00	Coupang Play
Spain	19:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	19:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	19:00	Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	01:00	DAZN
Tajikistan	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	00:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	20:00	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	20:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	18:00	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	14:00	DirecTV Sports
Usa	13:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	13:00	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter
Vietnam	00:00	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV 22, SCTV Online


	Villarreal		Leganés

	1	X	2
	1.3	6	8.5	Watch
	1.35	5.25	8.25
	1.3	6	10	Watch
	1.31	6	9.99
	1.31	5.96	9.4	Watch
	1.35	5	8
	1.33	6.13	8.69	Watch
	1.3	6	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.46)	5.79 ↑ (4.66)	9.1 ↑ (7.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
72.9%

Draw
16.6%

Leganés
10.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.2%

20.7%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

19.8%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villarreal's performance.

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	5.8%	13.5%

Villarreal - Leganés Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Leganés (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -1.25 - Villarreal (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Leganés (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Leganés (3.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (40 of 49 users predict this - 81.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.79% – 92.47%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Leganés (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Junior Reis (G) 26. Navarro P. 8. Foyth J. 2. Costa L. 24. Pedraza A. 10. Parejo D. (C) 18. Gueye P. 19. Pepe N. 16. Baena A. 21. Pino Y. 22. Perez A.	13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 2. Altimira A. 12. Rosier V. 3. Saenz J. (C) 5. Tapia R. 20. Hernandez J. 10. Raba D. 17. Neyou Y. 8. Cisse S. 30. Diomande Y. 19. Garcia D.
Substitutes
4. Bailly E. 9. Buchanan T. 23. Cardona S. 14. Comesana S. 13. Conde D. (G) 36. Etta Eyong 55. Gomez R. (G) 5. Kambwala W. 7. Moreno G. 6. Suarez D.	36. Alvin (G) 14. Brasanac D. 24. Chicco J. 11. Cruz J. 9. de la Fuente M. 18. Duk 6. Gonzalez S. 21. Lopez R. 23. Munir El Haddadi 22. Nastasic M. 7. Rodriguez O. 1. Soriano J. (G)
Coaches
Marcelino G.	Jimenez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Perez A. ⚽, Pedraza A. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Perez A. ⚽, Pino Y. (A),
35', Tapia R. 🟨,
44', Pino Y. 🟨,
45', 3 - 0, Pepe N. ⚽, Baena A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Navarro P. ↓, Kambwala W. ↑,
63', Neyou Y. ↓, Brasanac D. ↑,
63', Raba D. ↓, Munir El Haddadi ↑,
63', Rosier V. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
64', Parejo D. ↓, Comesana S. ↑,
64', Garcia D. ↓, de la Fuente M. ↑,
71', Tapia R. ↓, Rodriguez O. ↑,
73', Pedraza A. ↓, Cardona S. ↑,
73', Pepe N. ↓, Buchanan T. ↑,
79', Perez A. ↓, Etta Eyong ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 4.

Villarreal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leganés's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leganés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Villarreal is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Villarreal: Akhomach I. (Knee Injury) Albiol R. (Injury) Barry T. (Injury) Kiko Femenia (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Leganés: Barisic B. (Knee Injury) Franquesa E. (Knee Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
10.05.25	Girona - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Villarreal - Osasuna	4:2 ✺
27.04.25	Villarreal - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
23.04.25	Celta de Vigo - Villarreal	3:0 ✺
20.04.25	Villarreal - Real Sociedad	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLT
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga
11.05.25	Leganés - Espanyol	3:2 ✺
04.05.25	Sevilla - Leganés	2:2 ✺
24.04.25	Leganés - Girona	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Mallorca - Leganés	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Leganés - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
22.12.24	Leganés - Villarreal	2:5
08.03.20	Villarreal - Leganés	1:2
14.09.19	Leganés - Villarreal	0:3
21.04.19	Villarreal - Leganés	2:1
16.09.18	Leganés - Villarreal	0:1
17.04.18	Villarreal - Leganés	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
10.01.18	Villarreal - Leganés	2:1

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