Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 21 September 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Olympic Stadium of Athens (Athens) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	02:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Poland	18:45	Viaplay
Portugal	17:45	Sport TV4
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
United Kingdom	17:45	TNT Sports


	Panathinaikos		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.38
	2.95	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.4
	3.07	3.36	2.47
	2.88	3.2	2.15
	2.96	3.42	2.38
	3	3.4	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.42)	3.35 ↓ (3.47)	2.38 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panathinaikos
31.9%

Draw
28.2%

Villarreal
39.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.4%

27%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

25.2%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarreal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	32.1%	53.6%

Panathinaikos - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Panathinaikos will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Villarreal will win (votes: 15 - 53.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 32.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 35.1% – 72.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Brignoli A. (G) 27. Kotsiras G. 5. Schenkeveld B. (C) 23. Magnusson H. 25. Mladenovic F. 4. Perez R. 10. Bernard 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 34. Palacios S. 7. Ioannidis F. 17. Mancini D.	1. Reina P. (G) 17. Kiko 23. Mandi A. 2. Gabbia M. 24. Pedraza A. 22. Suarez D. 6. Capoue E. 4. Comesana S. 14. Trigueros M. (C) 15. Morales J. L. 9. Brereton Diaz B.
Substitutes
55. Arao W. 22. Cantalapiedra A. 31. Djuricic F. 21. Jedvaj T. 12. Lodygin Y. (G) 14. Palmer-Brown E. 24. Sideras G. 9. Sporar A. 52. Vilhena T. 15. Xenopoulos V. (G)	27. Akhomach I. 3. Albiol R. 31. Alvarez I. (G) 16. Baena A. 8. Foyth J. 13. Jorgensen F. (G) 18. Moreno A. 7. Moreno G. 10. Parejo D. 21. Pino Y. 11. Sorloth A.
Coaches
Jovanovic I.	Rojo Martin J.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Panathinaikos: Juankar (Red Card)

There will not play in Villarreal: Coquelin F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Panathinaikos: Jedvaj T. (Muscle Injury) Kleinheisler L. (Injury) Vagiannidis G. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Cuenca J. (Ankle Injury) Terrats R. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panathinaikos FC
Greek Super League
16.09.23	Panetolikos - Panathinaikos	0:5 ✺
03.09.23	PAS Giannina - Panathinaikos	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.08.23	Panathinaikos - Braga	0:1 ✺
Greek Super League
26.08.23	Panathinaikos - Volos	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.08.23	Braga - Panathinaikos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLWL
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
17.09.23	Villarreal - Almería	2:1 ✺
01.09.23	Cádiz - Villarreal	3:1 ✺
27.08.23	Villarreal - Barcelona	3:4 ✺
18.08.23	Mallorca - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
13.08.23	Villarreal - Betis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panathinaikos FC
Greek Super League
01.11.26	Panathinaikos - AEK Athens	✺
Greek Cup
28.10.26	Panathinaikos - Aris	✺
- Villarreal CF
UEFA Champions League
03.11.26	Villarreal - Paris Saint-Germain	✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.10.26	Villarreal - Espanyol	✺

Panathinaikos - Villarreal