Match Info

Date: 26 March 2022, Saturday


	Virtus Matino		Casertana

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.1	3	2.17
	3.14	2.98	2.19
	3	2.9	2.2
	3.13	3.2	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.8)	3.04 ↓ (3.13)	2.17 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Matino
29%

Draw
29.6%

Casertana
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

28.8%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

29.8%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Matino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus Matino's performance.

Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casertana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Matino than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Matino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casertana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Virtus Matino - Casertana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Casertana will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Virtus Matino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Matino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Matino
Italian Serie D - Group H
18.03.22	Virtus Matino - Gravina	3:2 ✺
27.02.22	Altamura - Virtus Matino	2:1 ✺
20.02.22	Virtus Matino - Casarano	1:2 ✺
16.02.22	Città di Fasano - Virtus Matino	2:2 ✺
13.02.22	Virtus Matino - Nola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WLLTW
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie D - Group H
13.03.22	Casertana - Nocerina	1:1 ✺
06.03.22	Audace Cerignola - Casertana	3:0 ✺
27.02.22	Gravina - Casertana	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	Casertana - Nardo	3:0 ✺
16.02.22	Casarano - Casertana	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
07.11.21	Casertana - Virtus Matino	2:0

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