Match Info

Date: 6 October 2020, Tuesday


	Vitória Salvador		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.87	2.3	Watch
	2.95	2.9	2.35
	3.05	2.65	2.45	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.38
	3.26	2.98	2.56
	3.2	2.8	2.45
	3.25	2.81	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.88)	2.84 ↑ (2.77)	2.43 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
29.5%

Draw
32.5%

América Mineiro
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

33.5%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

23.2%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória Salvador that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.5%	47.1%	26.5%

Vitória Salvador - América Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 9 - 26.5%). América MG will win (votes: 9 - 26.5%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.3% – 63.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 8).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Vitória could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Vitória won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie B
02.10.20	Operário Ferroviario - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
29.09.20	Vitória Salvador - CS Alagoano	0:1 ✺
26.09.20	Vitória Salvador - Osasco Sporting	3:1 ✺
14.09.20	Juventude - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
11.09.20	Cruzeiro - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWTL
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
03.10.20	América Mineiro - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
28.09.20	CRB Maceio - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
25.09.20	Chapecoense - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.09.20	América Mineiro - Ponte Preta	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
19.09.20	América Mineiro - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
15.11.19	América Mineiro - Vitória Salvador	2:1
21.08.19	Vitória Salvador - América Mineiro	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
01.09.18	Vitória Salvador - América Mineiro	1:0
30.04.18	América Mineiro - Vitória Salvador	2:1
28.08.16	Vitória Salvador - América Mineiro	2:1
25.05.16	América Mineiro - Vitória Salvador	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
10.11.15	América Mineiro - Vitória Salvador	4:0

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