Match Info

Date: 24 February 2022, Thursday


	Vitesse		Rapid Wien

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	4.5
	1.7	3.75	4.6
	1.72	3.8	4.9
	1.67	3.9	4.9
	1.69	4.04	5.01
	1.71	4.2	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.64)	3.92 ↑ (3.5)	4.81 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitesse
55.8%

Draw
24.3%

Rapid Wien
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

25.6%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

17.3%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Rapid Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitesse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rapid Wien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.1%	26.5%	20.4%

Vitesse - Rapid Wien Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 26 - 53.1%). Rapid will win (votes: 10 - 20.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 26.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitesse: 39.1% – 67.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Vitesse has a chance of round of 16 (40%), has a chance of qtrs (17%), has a very small chance of semis (5%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Rapid has a good chance of round of 16 (60%), has a small chance of qtrs (15%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 49, small importance 14, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Vitesse has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rapid is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Vitesse have a series of guest games.

Recently Rapid have a series of home games.

In this match Vitesse is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vitesse won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eredivisie
20.02.22	Utrecht - Vitesse	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.02.22	Rapid Wien - Vitesse	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
12.02.22	Vitesse - PSV Eindhoven	0:5 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
09.02.22	Ajax - Vitesse	5:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
05.02.22	Twente - Vitesse	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLLL
- Rapid Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
20.02.22	Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.02.22	Rapid Wien - Vitesse	2:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
11.02.22	Rapid Wien - Red Bull Salzburg	1:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
05.02.22	Rapid Wien - Hartberg	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.01.22	Rapid Wien - Trenčín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
17.02.22	Rapid Wien - Vitesse	2:1

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