Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 20

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday

Location: GelreDome (Arnhem)

Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Vitesse		Go Ahead Eagles

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.45
	2.85	3.45	2.42
	2.96	3.4	2.44
	3.05	3.32	2.51
	2.7	3.4	2.3
	2.86	3.44	2.43	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.51)	3.37 ↓ (3.57)	2.43 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitesse
32.8%

Draw
28.1%

Go Ahead Eagles
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

26.4%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

26.2%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitesse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	45%	25%

Vitesse - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Go Ahead will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 45%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Room E. (G) 2. Arcus C. 29. Isimat-Mirin N. 15. Hendriks R. 5. Mica Pinto 22. Domgjoni T. 13. Cornelisse E. 25. de Regt G. 8. van Ginkel M. (C) 7. Boutrah A. 35. Meerdink M.	1. De Lange J. (G) 2. Deijl M. (C) 25. Amofa J. 4. Kramer J. 15. James D. 8. Linthorst E. 20. Blomme X. 11. Adekanye B. 18. Willumsson W. T. 23. Edvardsen O. 16. Edvardsen V.
Substitutes
55. Bramel T. (G) 19. Buitink T. 28. Hadj Moussa A. 23. Huisman D. 17. Kozlowski K. 30. Mazilu A. 6. Oroz D. 31. Schubert M. (G) 43. Van Zwam G. 58. Visser A. 9. Voelkerling Persson J.	32. Baeten T. 29. Breum J. 24. Everink L. 22. Mulder E. (G) 3. Nauber G. 28. Saathof P. 27. Stokkers F. 7. Tengstedt S. 33. Verdoni N. (G)
Coaches
Sturing E.	Hake R.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitesse won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Vitesse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Vitesse won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitesse won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eredivisie
26.01.24	Zwolle - Vitesse	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Vitesse - Feyenoord	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.01.24	Vitesse - Amsterdamsche FC	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.01.24	Vitesse - Utrecht	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.01.24	Bochum - Vitesse	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWTL
- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eredivisie
28.01.24	Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen	2:2 ✺
21.01.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Go Ahead Eagles	0:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.01.24	NEC Nijmegen - Go Ahead Eagles	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.01.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Ajax	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Go Ahead Eagles	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
04.11.23	Go Ahead Eagles - Vitesse	5:1
08.04.23	Vitesse - Go Ahead Eagles	2:0
13.11.22	Go Ahead Eagles - Vitesse	2:2
01.05.22	Go Ahead Eagles - Vitesse	1:2
24.10.21	Vitesse - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2
Club Friendly
23.07.21	Go Ahead Eagles - Vitesse	1:1
Dutch Eredivisie
26.02.17	Go Ahead Eagles - Vitesse	1:3

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