Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 24

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)

Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+


	Excelsior		Vitesse

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.23	6.25	9.25
				Watch
	1.25	6.45	9.92
				Watch
	1.22	5.8	11
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.34)	6.17 ↑ (5.35)	10.06 ↑ (7.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior
75.6%

Draw
15.1%

Vitesse
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

17.5%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

16.9%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior's performance.

Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	15.4%	0%

Excelsior - Vitesse Predictions

Users Predictions: Excelsior will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raatsie C. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 5. Widell C. 4. Warmerdam D. 12. Zagre A. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 15. Naujoks N. 23. Hatenboer C. 7. Fini S. 9. Omorowa R. 10. Duijvestijn L. (C)	23. van Sas M. (G) 22. Egbring M. 3. Van Zwam G. 55. Steffen M. 18. Koller J. 34. Zarrouk A. 8. Cornelisse E. (C) 7. de Regt G. 17. Macheras T. 20. Yegoian I. 35. Huisman B.
Substitutes
33. Bergraaf J. 11. Booth Z. 21. Donkor J. 24. Eijgenraam J. 40. Holla T. (G) 17. Martens N. 16. Mattheij J. 3. Pierie K. 14. Rosario R. 29. van Duinen M.	5. Bakker J. 16. Bramel T. (G) 11. Hoogewerf D. 2. Kreekels M. 15. Musampa Nordin N. 6. Postma L. 37. Tsingaras A. 30. van der Heijden S. (G) 24. van der Plaat R. 9. van Duivenbooden S. 36. Zonneveld N.
Coaches
den Uil R.	van den Brom J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Huisman B. ⚽, Koller J. (A),
16', 0 - 2, de Regt G. ⚽, Cornelisse E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cornelisse E. ↓, Kreekels M. ↑,
46', Warmerdam D. ↓, Pierie K. ↑,
46', Naujoks N. ↓, Rosario R. ↑,
58', Macheras T. 🟨,
61', Zarrouk A. ↓, Tsingaras A. ↑,
66', Omorowa R. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
66', Fini S. ↓, Donkor J. ↑,
73', 0 - 3, Yegoian I. ⚽,
74', Koller J. ↓, van Duivenbooden S. ↑,
74', Zagre A. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
80', Hatenboer C. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
85', Huisman B. ↓, Visser A. ↑,
85', Macheras T. ↓, Hoogewerf D. ↑,
90', de Regt G. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Duijvestijn L. ⚽, Donkor J. (A),

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 1.

Recent matches Excelsior is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vitesse is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Excelsior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Excelsior is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X. (Injury)

There are questionable in Excelsior: Hartjes L. (Knee Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18:26 (average 1.1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Rotterdam
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.01.25	Excelsior - ADO Den Haag	1:0 ✺
17.01.25	Cambuur - Excelsior	1:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.25	PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior	5:4 ET ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.01.25	Excelsior - Dordrecht	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	VVV-Venlo - Excelsior	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWT
- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.01.25	Vitesse - Dordrecht	0:3 ✺
17.01.25	Volendam - Vitesse	4:0 ✺
12.01.25	Vitesse - VVV-Venlo	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.25	Vitesse - GVVV	3:2 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.12.24	Jong PSV - Vitesse	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
25.08.24	Vitesse - Excelsior	1:1
Dutch Eredivisie
25.02.24	Excelsior - Vitesse	1:2
07.10.23	Vitesse - Excelsior	0:0
22.04.23	Vitesse - Excelsior	0:0
12.08.22	Excelsior - Vitesse	3:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
09.02.21	Excelsior - Vitesse	0:1
Dutch Eredivisie
18.01.19	Vitesse - Excelsior	3:2

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