Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday


	Vitoria Guimarães		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	7.5
	1.35	5.15	6.5
	1.36	5.01	6.1
				Watch
	1.4	5.5	6.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.33)	5.17 ↓ (5.7)	6.63 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães
68.3%

Draw
17.8%

Ponferradina
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.4%

16.7%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Vitoria Guimarães - Ponferradina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ponferradina (2.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ponferradina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Charles Silva (G)
26. Abascal R.
18. Arcanjo T.
29. Bica
24. Borevkovic T.
21. Felix V.
13. Mendes J. II.
2. Miguel Maga (C)
77. Santos N.
92. Sousa D.
10. Tiago Silva
Substitutes
. Beni
7. Blanco F.
11. Camara O.
1. Castillo J. (G)
86. Dieu M.
98. Duarte R.
76. Gaspar B.
71. Gustavo
8. Handel T.
91. Jose Ribeiro (G)
19. Lebedenko O.
. Mitrovic M.
14. Nobrega M.
4. Paulo Vitor
. Thiago Balieiro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (9 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Sousa D. ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Santos N. ⚽,
12', 3 - 0, Tiago Silva ⚽,
28', 4 - 0, Santos N. ⚽,
30', 5 - 0, Bica ⚽,
32', Bica ↓, Camara O. ↑,
32', Sousa D. ↓, Mitrovic M. ↑,
32', Mendes J. II. ↓, Dieu M. ↑,
36', 6 - 0, Dieu M. ⚽,
39', 7 - 0, Abascal R. ⚽,
43', 8 - 0, Camara O. ⚽,
45', 9 - 0, Santos N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 10 - 0, Handel T. ⚽,
85', Gustavo 🟨,

Preview

Ponferradina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Guimarães is the undisputed favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal
17.05.25	Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Farense	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Nacional - Vitoria Guimarães	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Rio Ave	3:0 ✺
19.04.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWL
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.06.25	Ponferradina - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	FC Andorra - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Ponferradina - Antequera	2:1 ET ✺
31.05.25	Antequera - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Sestao - Ponferradina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTWLW

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