Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 21

Date: 13 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos (Barcelos)

Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Gil Vicente		Vizela

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.08	3.45	3.8
	2.06	3.52	3.84
	1.95	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2.03	3.55	3.62	Watch
	2.03	3.55	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2.02)	3.48 ↓ (3.5)	3.58 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gil Vicente
46.5%

Draw
27.1%

Vizela
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

26.9%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

27.1%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	19%	4.8%

Gil Vicente - Vizela Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Gil Vicente will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Vizela will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gil Vicente: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 67. Alex Pinto 13. Gabriel Pereira 26. Ruben (C) 23. Buta L. 76. Neto M. 8. Dominguez M. 10. Fujimoto K. 24. Gbane M. 77. Murilo 70. Correia F.	1. Ruberto F. (G) 82. Costa Silva T. 4. Jota Goncalves 5. Anderson Jesus 6. Matheus Pereira 20. Samu (C) 28. Bruno Costa 99. Essende S. 90. Nascimento D. 10. Quina D. 9. Petrov S.
Substitutes
9. Alipour A. 12. Araujo B. (G) 6. Castillo J. 35. Felipe Silva 88. Kazu 90. Moreira A. 25. Pedro Tiba 58. Thomas Luciano 7. Toure T.	18. Awudu Abdul 11. Ba-Sy A. 97. Buntic F. (G) 22. Busnic A. 25. Escoval R. 19. Lebedenko O. 8. Mendez A. 23. Rashid O. 29. Soro A.
Coaches
Campelos V.	de la Barrera R.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente won 1.

Recent matches Gil Vicente is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vizela has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Vizela have a series of home games.

Gil Vicente will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Gil Vicente won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gil Vicente
Taça de Portugal
08.02.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Gil Vicente	3:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
04.02.24	Benfica - Gil Vicente	3:0 ✺
28.01.24	Gil Vicente - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Portimonense - Gil Vicente	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Gil Vicente - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWWT
- FC Vizela
Taça de Portugal
08.02.24	Vizela - Benfica	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
04.02.24	Vizela - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Arouca - Vizela	5:0 ✺
18.01.24	Vizela - Sporting Lisbon	2:5 ✺
14.01.24	Vizela - Boavista	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
01.09.23	Vizela - Gil Vicente	1:0
17.02.23	Gil Vicente - Vizela	1:1
29.08.22	Vizela - Gil Vicente	2:2
13.02.22	Vizela - Gil Vicente	0:1
12.09.21	Gil Vicente - Vizela	2:2
Club Friendly
03.07.21	Vizela - Gil Vicente	2:3
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.08.18	Gil Vicente - Vizela	1:0

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