Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 23

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk)

Referee: Safyan R. (Rus)


	Volga Ulyanovsk		Alania Vladikavkaz

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	1.89
	3.5	3.34	2.09
	3.4	3.4	2.06	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (5.1)	3.31 ↓ (3.45)	2.01 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volga Ulyanovsk
26.6%

Draw
27.7%

Alania Vladikavkaz
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

26.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

23.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volga Ulyanovsk's performance.

Alania Vladikavkaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alania Vladikavkaz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volga Ulyanovsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Volga Ulyanovsk - Alania Vladikavkaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Relegation)).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Alania is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Volga Ulyanovsk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
12.03.23	Rubin Kazan - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:0 ✺
06.03.23	KAMAZ - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
25.02.23	Volga Ulyanovsk - Zenit	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.02.23	Volga Ulyanovsk - Rodina Moscow	1:4 ✺
18.02.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTLLW
- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL
13.03.23	Alania Vladikavkaz - Kuban Krasnodar	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.02.23	Dynamo Moscow - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:2 ✺
31.01.23	Alania Vladikavkaz - CSKA Moscow	0:6 ✺
23.01.23	Alania Vladikavkaz - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
27.08.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:2

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