Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 16

Date: 30 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Iver Arena (Vasteras)

Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Västerås SK		Gefle

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	9.5	Watch
	1.25	5.75	9.5
	1.24	5.8	10
	1.25	6.04	10.64
	1.2	5.5	9.5	Watch
	1.24	5.85	10.25	Watch
	1.26	5.6	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.3)	5.68 ↑ (5.23)	9.71 ↑ (8.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Västerås SK
74.3%

Draw
16.2%

Gefle
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

17.8%

10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2%

17.2%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Västerås SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Västerås SK than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	6.7%	26.7%

Västerås SK - Gefle Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Västerås SK will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Gefle will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Västerås SK: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fagerstrom A. (G) 2. Magnusson H. 18. Nsabiyumva F. 4. Aras U. 11. Gefvert S. 8. Ask D. 15. Edlund O. 31. Larsson M. 6. Johansson S. (C) 9. Ali J. 22. Aslund P.	13. Wallinder R. (G) 19. Aspgren C. 16. Persson K. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 24. Rafael Y. 14. Friman S. P. 18. Capotondi C. 6. Lundin O. . 12. Edqvist A. 11. Englund L. 10. Yakoub A.
Substitutes
28. Bjork H. 17. Diabate I. 3. Douglas A. 16. Hellbom A. 26. Mahammed M. 33. Sandberg M. 13. Svensson D. (G) 23. Tronet F.	4. Ekman P. 7. Eliasson D. 20. Hjelm A. 9. Hjelte J. 27. Johansson T. (G) 8. Lundin A. 37. Rafael T.
Coaches
Karlsson K.	Bengtsson M.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan and 10).

Västerås SK in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Gefle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gefle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Gefle have a series of home games.

In this match Västerås SK is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Västerås SK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Västerås SK FK
Swedish Superettan
24.07.23	GAIS - Västerås SK	0:2 ✺
15.07.23	Västerås SK - Utsikten	1:0 ✺
08.07.23	Sundsvall - Västerås SK	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.23	AFC Eskilstuna - Västerås SK	0:2 ✺
Swedish Superettan
10.06.23	Västerås SK - Skövde AIK	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWWW
- Gefle IF
Swedish Superettan
22.07.23	Gefle - Östersund	2:2 ✺
16.07.23	GAIS - Gefle	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Gefle - AFC Eskilstuna	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.23	Gefle - Brage	0:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
10.06.23	Gefle - Öster	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
06.05.23	Gefle - Västerås SK	0:3

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