Match Info

Date: 26 April 2022, Tuesday


	Vélez Sársfield		Nacional Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	4.75
	1.77	3.3	4.8
	1.82	3.35	4.5
	1.9	3.25	4
	1.93	3.33	4.61
	1.88	3.1	4	Watch
	1.89	3.48	4.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.64)	3.29 ↓ (3.4)	4.4 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield
50.2%

Draw
28.5%

Nacional Montevideo
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

27.1%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

27.1%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vélez Sársfield's form might have worsened.

Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	57.9%	10.5%

Vélez Sársfield - Nacional Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 57.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Vélez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vélez is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vélez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
23.04.22	Barracas Central - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
20.04.22	Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba	1:2 ✺
17.04.22	Godoy Cruz - Vélez Sársfield	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.22	Vélez Sársfield - Red Bull Bragantino	2:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.04.22	Vélez Sársfield - Boca Juniors	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLTTT
- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.04.22	Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo	0:2 ✺
17.04.22	Nacional Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.04.22	Nacional Montevideo - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
10.04.22	Boston River - Nacional Montevideo	0:6 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.04.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Nacional Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTTWL

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