The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Willem II 60.8%
Draw 20.2%
Jong AZ Alkmaar 19%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.2%
23.4%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.1%
22.5%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Willem II's performance.
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jong AZ Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Willem II that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jong AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.5%
27.3%
18.2%
Willem II - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 25.1% โ 83.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Willem II (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Didillon Hodl T. (C) 22. van Loon P. 30. Behounek R. 3. Stam F. 24. Tjoe a On N. 7. Doodeman N. 8. Twigt C. 6. Besselink G. 20. El Allouchi M. 9. Haen D. 47. Baartmans S.
1. Zeggen K. (G) 2. Zwart J. 3. Menu M. 4. Andersen F. E. 5. Esajas J. 6. Twisk N. (C) 8. Budko B. 7. Toppenberg K. 10. Oerip J. 11. Bouziane W. 9. van den Ban Y.
Substitutes
23. Abildgaard L. 17. Bamba S. 11. Culum A. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 14. Mathijsen J. 48. Poortvliet J. 46. Scheepens K. 19. van Aalst U. 21. van der Steen W. (G) 45. van Esdonk J. 28. Verheydt T.
12. Inge K. 19. Osazuwa S. 15. Oud J. 23. Schilder K. (G) 16. Schipper J. (G) 18. Smits A. 17. van der Klaauw D. 14. van Driel B.
Coaches
Stegeman J.
Peereboom F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Haen D. ⚽, Doodeman N. (A),
14', 2 - 0, Baartmans S. ⚽, El Allouchi M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Esajas J. ↓, Inge K. ↑,
46', Toppenberg K. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
49', Twisk N. 🟨,
51', 3 - 0, Stam F. ⚽, van Loon P. (A),
51', Oerip J. 🟨,
56', Stam F. 🟨,
62', Budko B. ↓, Osazuwa S. ↑,
68', Doodeman N. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
68', Baartmans S. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
75', Stam F. ↓, Mathijsen J. ↑,
76', Twigt C. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
80', Bouziane W. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
85', van Loon P. ↓, Scheepens K. ↑,
87', Oerip J. ↓, van Driel B. ↑,
87', Zwart J. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 17).
Willem II is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Jong AZ has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, Willem II is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Willem II: Hoogma J.
(Yellow Cards)
Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Schuurman J.
(Knock)
There will not play in Jong AZ: Kwakman D.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Willem II: Ciranni A.
(Muscle Injury)
We predict that Willem II will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Jong AZ
12
5
2
5
31:26
5
17
Last Results with these Odds
Jong AZ Alkmaar - the odds 3.37 are the expected chance of winning is 27.43%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.
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Didillon Hodl T. (C) 
van Loon P. 
Behounek R. 
Tjoe a On N. 
Andersen F. E. 
Budko B. 
Bamba S. 
Culum A. 
Osazuwa S. 
