Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 38

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: M-Scores Stadion (Dordrecht)

Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3


	Dordrecht		Willem II

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.6	2.45
	2.48	3.55	2.58
	2.6	3.78	2.58
	2.61	3.66	2.46	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.45
	2.55	3.6	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.65)	3.6 ↑ (3.5)	2.5 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dordrecht
36.8%

Draw
25.9%

Willem II
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

26.7%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.6%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Dordrecht - Willem II Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 68.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Willem II (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
63. Biai C. (G) 2. van Aken J. 3. Valk S. (C) 25. Plug J. 20. Yoon D. 8. Sunderland L. 6. van Vianen D. 5. Mica Pinto 18. van Asten R. 29. Rossi N. 7. Venema N.	1. Didillon Hodl T. (G) 3. Stam F. 30. Behounek R. 4. Hoogma J. (C) 22. van Loon P. 7. Doodeman N. 8. Twigt C. 6. Besselink G. 20. El Allouchi M. 9. Haen D. 28. Verheydt T.
Substitutes
11. Afaker M. 17. Alassani Y. 13. Artic T. (G) 16. Bae S. 9. Carrillo S. 28. Codutti L. 22. Darelas A. 24. Huitzing G. 15. M'Bemba Y. 14. Pynadath J. 21. Vetkal M. 23. Woudenberg L.	23. Abildgaard L. 47. Baartmans S. 17. Bamba S. 2. Ciranni A. 11. Culum A. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 14. Mathijsen J. 46. Scheepens K. 24. Tjoe a On N. 21. van der Steen W. (G) 45. van Esdonk J.
Coaches
Kuyt D.	Stegeman J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Haen D. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
32', Rossi N. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Verheydt T. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Verheydt T. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
46', Sunderland L. ↓, Bae S. ↑,
65', Rossi N. ↓, Afaker M. ↑,
65', Mica Pinto ↓, Codutti L. ↑,
69', Plug J. 🟨,
73', Afaker M. 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Venema N. ⚽, van Aken J. (A),
82', van Vianen D. ↓, Carrillo S. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Twigt C. ⚽, Culum A. (A),
85', Stam F. 🟨,
85', Carrillo S. 🟨,
86', El Allouchi M. ↓, Tjoe a On N. ↑,
90+5', Tjoe a On N. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

Willem II is Qualified for Eredivisie (Promotion )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 1.

Recent form of Dordrecht has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Willem II is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Willem II has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Dordrecht: Hardley B. (Muscle Injury) Hilton J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Schuurman J. (Knock)

There are questionable in Dordrecht: Malasomma M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Willem II: Ciranni A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:35. (average 1.1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.5:2.3).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Dordrecht: 0.65%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Dordrecht	10	2	2	6	13:27	-14	8

Last Results with these Odds

Dordrecht - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.23%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Willem II - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.1%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.04.26	Almere City - Dordrecht	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Dordrecht - ADO Den Haag	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Cambuur - Dordrecht	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Dordrecht - Roda	0:3 ✺
20.03.26	Jong Utrecht - Dordrecht	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWTLL
- Willem II
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.04.26	Willem II - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Willem II - Almere City	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Roda - Willem II	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Willem II - Jong PSV	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Willem II - De Graafschap	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.12.25	Willem II - Dordrecht	2:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.25	Willem II - Dordrecht	7:0
Dutch Eredivisie
24.05.25	Willem II - Dordrecht	4:2 penalties
21.05.25	Dordrecht - Willem II	2:1
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Dordrecht - Willem II	4:4
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.05.24	Dordrecht - Willem II	1:1
18.08.23	Willem II - Dordrecht	2:0

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