Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 17

Date: 20 December 2024, Friday

Location: Mandemakers Stadion (Waalwijk)

Referee: Blank E. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2


	Waalwijk		Zwolle

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.6	2.5	Watch
	2.65	3.5	2.55
	2.72	3.45	2.52	Watch
	2.76	3.58	2.54
	2.69	3.57	2.51	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.45
	2.64	3.68	2.47	Watch
	2.72	3.45	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.82)	3.53 ↓ (3.7)	2.51 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waalwijk
35.2%

Draw
26.9%

Zwolle
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

25.6%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

25.5%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.6%	18.5%	51.9%

Waalwijk - Zwolle Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). Zwolle will win (votes: 13 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zwolle: 30.8% – 69.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Houwen J. (G) 33. Al Mazyani F. 17. van Eijma R. 4. Van Gelderen L. 34. Wouters L. 6. Oukili Y. 24. Roemeratoe G. 18. van der Water S. 52. Ihattaren M. 19. Margaret R. 9. Zawada O. (C)	1. Schendelaar J. (G) 23. Reijnders E. 6. El Azzouzi A. 4. Garcia MacNulty A. 33. van der Haar D. 34. Fichtinger N. 10. Van Den Berg D. (C) 11. Mbayo D. 35. Monteiro J. 18. Velanas O. 9. Vente D.
Substitutes
7. Cleonise D. 35. Felida K. 11. Jakobsen A. 13. Kesting J. (G) 29. Kramer M. 2. Lelieveld J. 14. Lokesa C. 28. Meijers A. 10. Niemeijer R. 22. van de Loo T. 31. Vogels L. (G) 8. Vroegh P.	29. Buitink T. 38. Gijselhart T. 40. Hauptmeijer M. (G) 50. Krastev F. 5. Lutonda T. 77. Manu B. M. 37. Oukhattou M. 32. Reiziger G. 36. Ruward D. 30. Thomas R. 25. Vermeer K. (G)
Coaches
Fraser H.	Jansen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Zawada O. ⚽, Ihattaren M. (A),
32', Mbayo D. ↓, Krastev F. ↑,
41', 1 - 1, Vente D. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Fichtinger N. 🟨,
54', Roemeratoe G. ↓, Felida K. ↑,
54', van der Water S. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
75', van Eijma R. ↓, Lelieveld J. ↑,
75', Wouters L. ↓, Meijers A. ↑,
83', Monteiro J. ↓, Manu B. M. ↑,
83', Reijnders E. ↓, Buitink T. ↑,
84', Oukili Y. 🟨,
85', Felida K. 🟨,
86', Margaret R. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
89', Velanas O. ↓, Thomas R. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Zwolle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Zwolle: Floranus S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Waalwijk: El Harmazi N. (Shoulder Injury) Familia-Castillo J. (Injury) Van den Buijs D. (Injury) Weidmann D. (Injury) van Osch Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Zwolle: Gooijer T. (Knee Injury) Lagsir S. (Knee Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 1 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:24 (average 0.9:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Waalwijk won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:11 (average 0.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.24	Waalwijk - Cambuur	4:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.12.24	Fortuna Sittard - Waalwijk	3:2 ✺
07.12.24	Waalwijk - Feyenoord	2:3 ✺
29.11.24	Heerenveen - Waalwijk	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Heracles Almelo - Waalwijk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLTT
- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eredivisie
13.12.24	Zwolle - Willem II	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Groningen - Zwolle	0:0 ✺
30.11.24	Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Ajax - Zwolle	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Zwolle - Fortuna Sittard	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
12.05.24	Waalwijk - Zwolle	1:1
25.11.23	Zwolle - Waalwijk	1:2
23.04.22	Waalwijk - Zwolle	0:2
27.11.21	Zwolle - Waalwijk	0:0
06.02.21	Zwolle - Waalwijk	1:1
21.10.20	Waalwijk - Zwolle	1:1
08.02.20	Waalwijk - Zwolle	0:0

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