Match Info

Division 1 - Round 31

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Respect Energy Stadium (Grodzisk Wielkopolski)

Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Warta Poznań		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.6	1.91
	3	3.3	2.15
	3.3	3.5	2.08	Watch
	3.3	3.5	1.97
	3.4	3.48	2.07	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.2
	3.37	3.73	1.98	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.43)	3.46 ↓ (3.6)	2.06 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
28.4%

Draw
26.7%

Ruch Chorzów
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

25.9%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

24%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Warta Poznań - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ruch Chorzów (1.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruch Chorzów (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kajzer D. (G) 2. Bartkowski J. 34. Plesnierowicz W. 27. Przybylko K. 37. Gryszkiewicz A. 10. Drzazga K. 7. Gaska D. 15. Kopczynski M. 26. Michalski K. 9. Firlej M. (C) 32. Rajsel N.	82. Bielecki J. (G) 15. Konczkowski M. 16. Tsykalo Y. 20. Szymanski S. (C) 4. Preisler D. 27. Szwoch M. 25. Ventura D. 80. Adkonis J. 7. Kozak M. 95. Szczepan D. 23. Mezghrani M.
Substitutes
18. Feliks M. 19. Jozwicki K. 42. Przybylak L. (G) 17. Sarbinowski S. 5. Tkachuk Y. 77. Walus F.	24. Baranski B. 28. Borowski F. 38. Karasinski S. 17. Lukic A. 13. Moneta L. 11. Myszor J. 86. Novothny S. 30. Sobeczko J. 88. Turk M. (G)
Coaches
Tarasiewicz R.	Szulczek D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Szczepan D. ⚽, Szwoch M. (A),
39', 0 - 2, Preisler D. ⚽, Szczepan D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Drzazga K. ↓, Feliks M. ↑,
62', Kozak M. ↓, Borowski F. ↑,
64', Firlej M. ↓, Walus F. ↑,
79', Adkonis J. ↓, Baranski B. ↑,
79', Szczepan D. ↓, Novothny S. ↑,
79', Konczkowski M. ↓, Karasinski S. ↑,
88', Michalski K. ↓, Sarbinowski S. ↑,
90+1', Szymanski S. ↓, Lukic A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 9).

Warta has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ruch Chorzów has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Ruch Chorzów has had a series of home games.

Ruch Chorzów will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Warta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Warta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 1
26.04.25	Warta Poznań - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:1 ✺
21.04.25	Miedź Legnica - Warta Poznań	3:2 ✺
11.04.25	Warta Poznań - Górnik Łęczna	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Arka Gdynia - Warta Poznań	3:0 ✺
05.04.25	Warta Poznań - Wisła Kraków	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
27.04.25	Ruch Chorzów - Stal Rzeszów	3:0 ✺
22.04.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Ruch Chorzów	3:4 ✺
13.04.25	Ruch Chorzów - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:3 ✺
10.04.25	Ruch Chorzów - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Tychy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
25.10.24	Ruch Chorzów - Warta Poznań	2:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.02.24	Ruch Chorzów - Warta Poznań	0:0
14.08.23	Warta Poznań - Ruch Chorzów	2:2

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