Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 34

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Location: BRITA-Arena (Wiesbaden)

Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Wehen Wiesbaden		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.75	2.15
	3	3.75	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.96	2.18
	3.09	3.95	2.19
	3	3.75	2.1
	3.14	3.84	2.11	Watch
	3.35	3.65	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	3.77 ↓ (3.78)	2.14 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wehen Wiesbaden
30.4%

Draw
25.2%

St. Pauli
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

24.9%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

24.7%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wehen Wiesbaden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31%	17.2%	51.7%

Wehen Wiesbaden - St. Pauli Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Wehen will win (votes: 9 - 31%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 15 - 51.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 33.5% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Stritzel F. (G) 2. Angha M. 24. Mathisen M. (C) 26. Vukotic A. 9. Goppel T. 7. Heusser R. 6. Fechner G. 11. Bennetts K. 14. Kovacevic F. 25. Agrafiotis N. 18. Prtajin I.	22. Vasilj N. (G) 5. Wahl H. 8. Smith E. 3. Mets K. 2. Saliakas M. 7. Irvine J. (C) 36. Kemlein A. 21. Ritzka L. 24. Metcalfe C. 11. Eggestein J. 17. Afolayan O.
Substitutes
8. Batzner N. 34. Catic A. 30. Froese K. 29. Gunther L. 33. Iredale J. 20. Lee H. 1. Lyska A. (G) 4. Mockenhaupt S. 5. Taffertshofer E.	19. Albers A. 18. Banks S. 16. Boukhalfa C. 30. Burchert S. (G) 25. Dzwigala A. 4. Nemeth D. 32. Scheller T. 15. Sinani D.
Coaches
Doring N.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Goppel T. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Kovacevic F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Goppel T. ↓, Mockenhaupt S. ↑,
46', Kemlein A. ↓, Albers A. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Albers A. ⚽, Irvine J. (A),
56', Doring N. 🟥,
58', Agrafiotis N. ↓, Iredale J. ↑,
64', Kovacevic F. ↓, Lee H. ↑,
65', Ritzka L. ↓, Sinani D. ↑,
75', Fechner G. ↓, Taffertshofer E. ↑,
76', Bennetts K. ↓, Gunther L. ↑,
78', Eggestein J. ↓, Banks S. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Sinani D. ⚽, Banks S. (A),
83', Sinani D. 🟨,
90', Banks S. ↓, Boukhalfa C. ↑,
90', Afolayan O. ↓, Dzwigala A. ↑,
90+4', Boukhalfa C. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

St. Pauli is Qualified for Bundesliga

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wehen won 1.

Wehen has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches St. Pauli is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wehen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

St. Pauli will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Wehen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Wehen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wehen Wiesbaden
German 2 Bundesliga
12.05.24	Eintracht Braunschweig - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:0 ✺
05.05.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Holstein Kiel	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Greuther Fürth	3:5 ✺
20.04.24	Kaiserslautern - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLTL
- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
12.05.24	St. Pauli - Osnabrück	3:1 ✺
03.05.24	Hamburger SV - St. Pauli	1:0 ✺
26.04.24	St. Pauli - Hansa Rostock	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Hannover - St. Pauli	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	St. Pauli - Elversberg	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
17.12.23	St. Pauli - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:1
28.06.20	Wehen Wiesbaden - St. Pauli	5:3
Club Friendly
16.01.20	St. Pauli - Wehen Wiesbaden	5:2
German 2 Bundesliga
14.12.19	St. Pauli - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:1
Club Friendly
16.01.19	St. Pauli - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:2
German DFB Pokal
17.08.18	Wehen Wiesbaden - St. Pauli	3:2 ET

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