Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Welling United		Brackley Town

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	1.88
	3.75	3.5	1.9
	3.9	3.55	1.94
	3.9	3.46	1.9
	3.4	3.5	1.83
	3.7	3.54	1.89
	3.35	3.45	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (2.63)	3.49 ↑ (3.25)	1.9 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
25.3%

Draw
26.3%

Brackley Town
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

27.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

27.1%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Welling United's form might have worsened.

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brackley Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Welling United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brackley Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Welling United - Brackley Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Brackley have a series of guest games.

Brackley will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English National League South
04.12.23	Aveley - Welling United	2:2 ✺
02.12.23	Weston-super-Mare - Welling United	4:2 ✺
25.11.23	Welling United - Yeovil Town	4:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
21.11.23	Welling United - Taunton Town	3:2 penalties ✺
English National League South
14.11.23	Braintree Town - Welling United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TLWWL
- Brackley Town
English National League North
05.12.23	Chester - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Brackley Town - Boston United	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Alfreton Town - Brackley Town	0:1 ✺
21.11.23	Tamworth - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Stafford Rangers - Brackley Town	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLW

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