Match Info

National League South - Round 46

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Welling United		Salisbury

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.5	1.68
	4.2	3.95	1.69
	3.75	4.46	1.77
	3.71	4.29	1.78	Watch
	3.87	4.13	1.76
	4.2	3.95	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↓ (4.69)	4.05 ↓ (4.06)	1.73 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
23.4%

Draw
22.9%

Salisbury
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

22.8%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

20.6%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Welling United - Salisbury Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Hedges J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 1 - 1, Redfearn J. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 20).

Welling is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Welling won 1.

Welling has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Salisbury is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Salisbury is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Welling won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.5:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Welling won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English National League South
21.04.25	Chelmsford City - Welling United	5:1 ✺
18.04.25	Welling United - Maidstone United	0:4 ✺
12.04.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Welling United	5:0 ✺
05.04.25	Welling United - Hornchurch	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Chesham United - Welling United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Salisbury FC
English National League South
21.04.25	Salisbury - Eastbourne Borough	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Weymouth - Salisbury	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Salisbury - Aveley	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Boreham Wood - Salisbury	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Salisbury - Tonbridge Angels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
21.12.24	Salisbury - Welling United	3:1
English National League
21.04.14	Salisbury - Welling United	3:0
26.08.13	Welling United - Salisbury	0:0
English National League South
06.04.13	Salisbury - Welling United	2:1
17.11.12	Welling United - Salisbury	1:0
31.03.12	Salisbury - Welling United	N/A

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