Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 12

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Weserstadion (Bremen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 5
Argentina	11:30	Disney+
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Brazil	11:30	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada
China	22:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 5
Hong Kong	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
India	20:00	Vision+
Indonesia	21:30	K-Vision
Japan	23:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	08:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Peru	09:30	Disney+
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	17:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:30	Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 5
Singapore	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	15:30	Sport TV2
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	17:30	S Sport+
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+
Vietnam	21:30	TV 360
International	14:30	Onefootball


	Werder Bremen		Köln

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.8	3	Watch
	2.28	3.7	2.98	Watch
	2.29	3.8	3.07
	2.24	3.89	2.87	Watch
	2.32	3.88	3.07	Watch
	2.25	3.8	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.24)	3.81 ↓ (3.89)	2.98 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen
42.5%

Draw
25.2%

Köln
32.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.4%

24.4%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

24.4%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.2%	8.7%	39.1%

Werder Bremen - Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Köln will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 31.8% – 72.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Werder (votes: 3 - 60%). Köln (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Werder (1.41) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Werder (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Köln (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Backhaus M. (G) 3. Sugawara Y. 5. Pieper A. 31. Coulibaly K. 32. Friedl M. (C) 14. Lynen S. 6. Stage J. 18. Puertas C. 20. Schmid R. 17. Grull M. 9. Topp K.	1. Schwabe M. (C) 28. Sebulonsen S. 3. Heintz D. 39. Ozkacar C. 29. Thielmann J. 18. Johannesson I. 6. Martel E. 17. Castro-Montes A. 16. Kaminski J. 30. Bulter M. 13. El Mala S.
Substitutes
28. Alvero S. 10. Bittencourt L. 44. Boniface V. 24. Covic P. 13. Hein K. (G) 7. Mbangula S. 11. Njinmah J. 23. Schmidt I. 4. Stark N.	25. Gazibegovic J. 8. Huseinbasic D. 11. Kainz F. 5. Krauss T. 32. Lund K. 37. Maina L. 33. van den Berg R. 7. Waldschmidt L. 20. Zieler R. (G)
Coaches
Steffen H.	Kwasniok L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Heintz D. ↓, van den Berg R. ↑,
22', 1 - 0, Friedl M. ⚽, Stage J. (A),
38', Castro-Montes A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pieper A. ↓, Stark N. ↑,
46', Castro-Montes A. ↓, Krauss T. ↑,
46', Johannesson I. ↓, Lund K. ↑,
71', Topp K. ↓, Boniface V. ↑,
74', Ozkacar C. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
75', Stark N. 🟨,
75', Thielmann J. 🟨,
78', Martel E. 🟨,
81', Puertas C. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,
82', Martel E. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, El Mala S. ⚽, Lund K. (A),
90+6', Stark N. 🟨,
90+7', Bulter M. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 2.

In recent matches, Werder has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Köln is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Werder: Agu F. (Ankle Injury) Deman O. (Ankle Injury) Malatini J. (Thigh Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Köln: Ache R. (Concussion) Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Schmied J. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Werder won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.5:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Werder Bremen - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.44%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
23.11.25	RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Mainz - Werder Bremen	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Werder Bremen - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Heidenheim - Werder Bremen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTWT
- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Köln - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:4 ✺
08.11.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Köln - Hamburger SV	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Köln - Bayern Munich	1:4 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Borussia Dortmund - Köln	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
16.02.24	Köln - Werder Bremen	0:1
23.09.23	Werder Bremen - Köln	2:1
20.05.23	Werder Bremen - Köln	1:1
21.01.23	Köln - Werder Bremen	7:1
07.03.21	Köln - Werder Bremen	1:1
06.11.20	Werder Bremen - Köln	1:1
27.06.20	Werder Bremen - Köln	6:1

Upcoming Matches