The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
West Bromwich Albion 21.8%
Draw 23.9%
Aston Villa 54.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.8%
25.5%
48.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.4%
21.1%
58.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
West Bromwich Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aston Villa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.6%
15.4%
66%
West Bromwich Albion - Aston Villa Predictions
Users Predictions:
156 users predict this event. West Bromwich will win (votes: 29 - 18.6%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 103 - 66%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 58.6% โ 73.4%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
No spectators.
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation to Championship and 11).
West Bromwich has a good chance of relegated (83%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Aston Villa has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (10%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
West Bromwich is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Aston Villa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
West Bromwich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Aston Villa is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches West Bromwich won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-18.
Including matches at home between the teams West Bromwich won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7.