Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	02:00	Toffee Live
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	16:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	04:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	15:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	See, Viaplay
Ecuador	15:00	ESPN 2
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	21:00	Match 4
India	01:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	03:00	Vidio
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Japan	05:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	02:00	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	04:00	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	14:00	HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	01:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	09:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	21:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	01:00	ARY ZAP
Paraguay	17:00	ESPN 2
Peru	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Philippines	04:00	Setanta Sports
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	Voyo
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	04:00	Hub Premier 1
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	05:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	22:00	Kyivstar TV, Pershiy, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, TeleXitos, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	FPT Play
International	20:00	Sport 24


	Wolverhampton Wanderers		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.7	1.75
	4	3.6	1.87
	4.75	3.75	1.78
	5	3.88	1.75
	4.69	3.86	1.79	Watch
	4	3.5	1.83
	5.14	3.8	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↑ (3.84)	3.73 ↓ (3.8)	1.79 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolverhampton Wanderers
20.7%

Draw
25.7%

Aston Villa
53.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25%

25.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

25.1%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.6%	8.7%	83.7%

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Aston Villa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Wolverhampton (2.04) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Wolverhampton (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Aston Villa (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (76 of 90 users predict this - 84.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.95% – 91.93%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aston Villa will win (35 of 37 users predict this - 94.59%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 41 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 3 - 7.3%). Aston Villa (votes: 36 - 87.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sa J. (C) 15. Mosquera Y. 4. Bueno S. 24. Toti 38. Tchatchoua J. 7. Andre 8. Joao Gomes 3. Bueno H. 27. Bellegarde J. 36. Mane M. 9. Armstrong A.	23. Martinez E. (G) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. (C) 14. Torres P. 12. Digne L. 24. Onana A. 21. Douglas Luiz 19. Sancho J. 27. Rogers M. 10. Buendia E. 11. Watkins O.
Substitutes
14. Arokodare T. 2. Doherty M. 74. Edozie T. 47. Gomes A. 21. Gomes R. 31. Johnstone S. (G) 59. Olagunju S. 17. Pedro Lima 6. Wolfe D. M.	18. Abraham T. 47. Alysson 31. Bailey L. 6. Barkley R. 40. Bizot M. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 3. Lindelof V. 22. Maatsen I. 5. Mings T.
Coaches
Edwards R.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Mosquera Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Armstrong A. 🟨,
54', Buendia E. 🟨,
59', Bellegarde J. 🟨,
60', Sancho J. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
60', Douglas Luiz ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Joao Gomes ⚽, Armstrong A. (A),
71', Buendia E. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
71', Digne L. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
75', Bailey L. 🟨,
81', Bellegarde J. ↓, Arokodare T. ↑,
86', Watkins O. ↓, Alysson ↑,
90', Andre ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
90+3', Cash M. 🟨,
90+3', Armstrong A. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 0, Gomes R. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Aston Villa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Aston Villa has had a series of home games.

In this match, Aston Villa is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Lacking Match Fitness) Krejci L. (Red Card)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Alysson (Knock) Kamara B. (Knee Injury) McGinn J. (Knee Injury) Tielemans Y. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Hwang Hee-Chan (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolverhampton won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.3:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Aston Villa	8	3	2	3	9:12	-3	11

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Aston Villa: 0.76%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
22.02.26	Crystal Palace - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
18.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Arsenal	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
15.02.26	Grimsby Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LTWTL
- Aston Villa
English Premier League
21.02.26	Aston Villa - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Aston Villa - Newcastle United	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Bournemouth - Aston Villa	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Aston Villa - Brentford	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
30.11.25	Aston Villa - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0
01.02.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Aston Villa	2:0
21.09.24	Aston Villa - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:1
30.03.24	Aston Villa - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0
08.10.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Aston Villa	1:1
06.05.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Aston Villa	1:0
04.01.23	Aston Villa - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1

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