What is the expert prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Aston Villa?

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Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Aston Villa Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, February 27, 2026)

Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton)

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Match 4
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Pershiy, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, TeleXitos, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Sport 24


	Wolverhampton Wanderers		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.7	1.75
	4	3.6	1.87
	4.75	3.75	1.78
	5	3.88	1.75
	4.69	3.86	1.79	Watch
	4	3.5	1.83
	5.14	3.8	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↑ (3.84)	3.73 ↓ (3.8)	1.79 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolverhampton Wanderers
20.7%

Draw
25.7%

Aston Villa
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

25.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

25.1%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.6%	8.7%	83.7%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Wolverhampton (2.04) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.5 - Wolverhampton (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Aston Villa (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (76 of 90 users predict this - 84.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.95% – 91.93%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aston Villa will win (35 of 37 users predict this - 94.59%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 41 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 3 - 7.3%). Aston Villa (votes: 36 - 87.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sa J. (C) 15. Mosquera Y. 4. Bueno S. 24. Toti 38. Tchatchoua J. 7. Andre 8. Joao Gomes 3. Bueno H. 27. Bellegarde J. 36. Mane M. 9. Armstrong A.	23. Martinez E. (G) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. (C) 14. Torres P. 12. Digne L. 24. Onana A. 21. Douglas Luiz 19. Sancho J. 27. Rogers M. 10. Buendia E. 11. Watkins O.
Substitutes
14. Arokodare T. 2. Doherty M. 74. Edozie T. 47. Gomes A. 21. Gomes R. 31. Johnstone S. (G) 59. Olagunju S. 17. Pedro Lima 6. Wolfe D. M.	18. Abraham T. 47. Alysson 31. Bailey L. 6. Barkley R. 40. Bizot M. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 3. Lindelof V. 22. Maatsen I. 5. Mings T.
Coaches
Edwards R.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Mosquera Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Armstrong A. 🟨,
54', Buendia E. 🟨,
59', Bellegarde J. 🟨,
60', Sancho J. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
60', Douglas Luiz ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Joao Gomes ⚽, Armstrong A. (A),
71', Buendia E. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
71', Digne L. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
75', Bailey L. 🟨,
81', Bellegarde J. ↓, Arokodare T. ↑,
86', Watkins O. ↓, Alysson ↑,
90', Andre ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
90+3', Cash M. 🟨,
90+3', Armstrong A. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 0, Gomes R. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Aston Villa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Aston Villa has had a series of home games.

In this match, Aston Villa is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Lacking Match Fitness) Krejci L. (Red Card)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Alysson (Knock) Kamara B. (Knee Injury) McGinn J. (Knee Injury) Tielemans Y. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Hwang Hee-Chan (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolverhampton won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.3:0.6).

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Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Aston Villa - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 49.74%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
22.02.26	Crystal Palace - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
18.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Arsenal	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
15.02.26	Grimsby Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LTWTL
- Aston Villa
English Premier League
21.02.26	Aston Villa - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Aston Villa - Newcastle United	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Bournemouth - Aston Villa	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Aston Villa - Brentford	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
30.11.25	Aston Villa - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0
01.02.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Aston Villa	2:0
21.09.24	Aston Villa - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:1
30.03.24	Aston Villa - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0
08.10.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Aston Villa	1:1
06.05.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Aston Villa	1:0
04.01.23	Aston Villa - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1

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