Match Info

Championship - Round 30

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Portsmouth		West Bromwich Albion

	1	X	2
	2.82	3	2.57	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.55
	2.9	2.95	2.71	Watch
	2.91	3.16	2.67
	2.92	3.18	2.53	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.5
	2.96	3.09	2.7	Watch
	2.85	3.14	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (2.95)	3.09 ↓ (3.25)	2.61 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
33.1%

Draw
30.6%

West Bromwich Albion
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

29.2%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

29.4%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

West Bromwich Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	38.5%	15.4%

Portsmouth - West Bromwich Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). West Bromwich will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - West Bromwich (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. West Bromwich (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmid N. (G) 24. Devlin T. 5. Poole R. 3. Ogilvie C. 22. Swanson Z. 21. Dozzell A. 38. Adams E. 10. Segecic A. 36. Chaplin C. 27. Alli M. 9. Bishop C. (C)	1. O'Leary M. (G) 2. Mepham C. 3. Phillips N. (C) 29. Taylor C. 21. Price I. 17. Diakite O. 8. Molumby J. 22. Iling Junior S. 30. Imray D. 19. Heggebo A. 11. Johnston M.
Substitutes
6. Alese A. 14. Anderson K. 17. Bowat I. 26. Bursik J. (G) 25. Kirk M. 16. Le Roux L. 7. Pack M. 8. Swift J. 2. Williams J.	37. Bostock O. 12. Dike D. 14. Gilchrist A. 20. Griffiths J. (G) 9. Maja J. 27. Mowatt A. 4. Styles C. 7. Wallace J. 34. Whitwell H.
Coaches
Mousinho J.	Ramsay E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', Phillips N. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Chaplin C. ⚽, Alli M. (A),
23', Johnston M. 🟨,
25', 2 - 0, Alli M. ⚽, Dozzell A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Iling Junior S. ↓, Maja J. ↑,
46', Phillips N. ↓, Styles C. ↑,
46', Imray D. ↓, Gilchrist A. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Adams E. ⚽, Chaplin C. (A),
63', Johnston M. ↓, Wallace J. ↑,
70', Bishop C. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
73', Molumby J. ↓, Mowatt A. ↑,
76', Segecic A. ↓, Pack M. ↑,
84', Alli M. ↓, Kirk M. ↑,
84', Adams E. ↓, Swift J. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 and 20).

In recent matches, Portsmouth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

West Bromwich is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Portsmouth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Portsmouth: Bianchini F. (Knee Injury) Blair H. (Injury) Knight J. (Back Injury) Kosznovszky M. (Injury) Lang C. (Inactive) Matthews H. (Ankle Injury) Murphy J. (Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Thigh Injury) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in West Bromwich: Bany T. (Muscle Injury) Bielik K. (Injury) Grant K. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.7:3).

Including home match between the teams, Portsmouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

West Brom: 4.44% Portsmouth: 0.98%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	West Brom	9	4	2	3	10:9	1	14
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

West Bromwich Albion - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 38.6%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
25.01.26	Portsmouth - Southampton	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Watford - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Portsmouth	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Portsmouth - Arsenal	1:4 ✺
English League Championship
01.01.26	Bristol City - Portsmouth	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTWLL
- West Bromwich Albion
English League Championship
23.01.26	Derby County - West Bromwich Albion	1:1 ✺
20.01.26	West Bromwich Albion - Norwich City	0:5 ✺
16.01.26	West Bromwich Albion - Middlesbrough	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Swansea City - West Bromwich Albion	2:3 penalties ✺
English League Championship
05.01.26	Leicester City - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
23.08.25	West Bromwich Albion - Portsmouth	1:1
25.01.25	West Bromwich Albion - Portsmouth	5:1
15.09.24	Portsmouth - West Bromwich Albion	0:3

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