Match Info

Championship - Round 28

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry)

Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Coventry City		Millwall

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.5	4.1	Watch
	1.88	3.56	4.15	Watch
	1.88	3.56	4.18	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4
	1.88	3.45	4.08	Watch
	1.9	3.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.64)	3.5 ↓ (3.99)	4.12 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coventry City
50.3%

Draw
26.9%

Millwall
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

23.7%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

24.5%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coventry City's form might have worsened.

Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coventry City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	3.6%	17.9%

Coventry City - Millwall Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Coventry (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Millwall (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Millwall (4.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Coventry City will win (22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.37% – 93.77%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Coventry (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Millwall (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Rushworth C. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 22. Latibeaudiere J. 15. Kitching L. 3. Dasilva J. 28. Eccles J. 6. Grimes M. (C) 14. Esse R. 5. Rudoni J. 10. Mason-Clark E. 11. Wright H.	15. Crocombe M. (G) 4. Crama T. 6. Taylor C. 5. Cooper J. (C) 3. Sturge Z. 8. Mitchell B. 10. Neghli C. 11. Azeez F. 17. Langstaff M. 7. Ballo T. 9. Ivanovic M.
Substitutes
8. Allen J. 21. Bidwell J. 7. Sakamoto T. 9. Simms E. 23. Thomas-Asante B. 29. Torp V. 13. Wilson B. (G) 26. Woolfenden L. 18. Yang Min-Hyuk	31. Bangura-Williams R. 19. Coburn J. 25. Cundle L. 24. De Norre C. 14. Doughty A. 22. Emakhu A. 41. Evans G. (G) 18. Leonard R. 2. McNamara D.
Coaches
Lampard F.	Neil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Esse R. ⚽,
19', Esse R. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Ivanovic M. ⚽, Azeez F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', Eccles J. 🟨,
70', Esse R. ↓, Sakamoto T. ↑,
70', Rudoni J. ↓, Thomas-Asante B. ↑,
70', Eccles J. ↓, Torp V. ↑,
73', Sturge Z. 🟨,
74', Ballo T. ↓, De Norre C. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Wright H. ⚽, Thomas-Asante B. (A),
81', Wright H. ↓, Simms E. ↑,
83', Langstaff M. ↓, Coburn J. ↑,
83', Neghli C. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
86', Azeez F. ↓, Doughty A. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 3.

Recent form of Coventry has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Millwall is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Coventry is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Coventry: Dovin O. (Knee Injury) Kesler-Hayden K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L. (Muscle Injury) Kelly D. (Inactive) Luongo M. (Knee Injury) Mazou-Sacko D. (Knock) Smallbone W. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Coventry won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Millwall: 5.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Millwall	9	4	2	3	16:15	1	14

Last Results with these Odds

Coventry City - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 57.72%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coventry City
English League Championship
17.01.26	Coventry City - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Stoke City - Coventry City	1:0 ✺
English League Championship
04.01.26	Birmingham City - Coventry City	3:2 ✺
01.01.26	Charlton Athletic - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Coventry City - Ipswich Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLTL
- Millwall
English League Championship
17.01.26	Watford - Millwall	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Burnley - Millwall	5:1 ✺
English League Championship
04.01.26	Millwall - Swansea City	2:1 ✺
01.01.26	Southampton - Millwall	0:0 ✺
29.12.25	Millwall - Bristol City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
01.10.25	Millwall - Coventry City	0:4
English League Cup
26.08.25	Millwall - Coventry City	2:1
English League Championship
29.12.24	Coventry City - Millwall	0:0
07.12.24	Millwall - Coventry City	0:1
11.02.24	Coventry City - Millwall	2:1
25.11.23	Millwall - Coventry City	0:3
14.02.23	Coventry City - Millwall	1:0

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