Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Fredrikstad Stadion (Fredrikstad)

Referee: Tohver K. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Norway	VG+
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
United-kingdom	Channel 5


	Fredrikstad		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.75	1.44	Watch
	6.5	4.1	1.43
	6.9	4.45	1.41	Watch
	6.92	4.59	1.45
	6.25	4.18	1.49	Watch
	7	4.8	1.36
	6.87	4.77	1.43	Watch
	10	4.2	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.12 ↓ (9)	4.48 ↑ (4.2)	1.42 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredrikstad
13.2%

Draw
20.9%

Crystal Palace
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.2%

21.8%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.9%

21.1%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	6.2%	87.5%

Fredrikstad - Crystal Palace Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Crystal Palace (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Crystal Palace will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crystal Palace will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Borsheim M. (G) 28. Owusu S. 12. Fredriksen U. 22. Woledzi M. 16. Eid D. 20. Ohlenschlaeger O. 6. Owusu L. (C) 11. Metcalfe P. 4. Molde S. 13. Sorlokk S. 9. Holten E.	1. Henderson D. (G) 26. Richards C. 5. Lacroix M. 6. Guehi M. (C) 2. Munoz D. 20. Wharton A. 8. Lerma J. 24. Sosa B. 7. Sarr I. 14. Mateta J. 18. Kamada D.
Substitutes
18. Begby L. 14. Bjartalid J. 40. Granaas E. 17. Kvile S. 25. Langbraten O. (G) 10. Nunez J. 2. Okpaleke K. 1. Ovretveit O. (G) 5. Rafn S. 19. Shein R. R. 23. Skogvold H. 31. Solberg E.	44. Benitez W. (G) 59. Cardines R. 17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 21. Esse R. 31. Matthews R. (G) 3. Mitchell T. 42. Rodney K.
Coaches
Hagen A.	Glasner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Mateta J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Sosa B. 🟨,
61', Sorlokk S. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
61', Holten E. ↓, Skogvold H. ↑,
67', Owusu L. 🟨,
70', Owusu L. ↓, Bjartalid J. ↑,
70', Owusu S. ↓, Kvile S. ↑,
71', Ohlenschlaeger O. 🟨,
78', Sosa B. ↓, Mitchell T. ↑,
81', Ohlenschlaeger O. ↓, Shein R. R. ↑,
87', Woledzi M. 🟨,
90+3', Kamada D. ↓, Devenny J. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

Fredrikstad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Crystal Palace is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fredrikstad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Crystal Palace is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fredrikstad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredrikstad FK
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Crystal Palace - Fredrikstad	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.08.25	Midtjylland - Fredrikstad	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Fredrikstad - Midtjylland	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
02.08.25	Tromsø - Fredrikstad	0:0 ✺
25.07.25	Fredrikstad - Strømsgodset	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLTW
- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
24.08.25	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Crystal Palace - Fredrikstad	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
17.08.25	Chelsea - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
English FA Community Shield
10.08.25	Crystal Palace - Liverpool	3:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.25	Augsburg - Crystal Palace	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Crystal Palace - Fredrikstad	1:0

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