Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Selhurst Park (London)

Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 6, SuperSport Variety 2
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Venezuela	Disney+


	Crystal Palace		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.25
	1.68	3.6	5.5
	1.72	3.65	5.4
	1.69	3.85	5.53
	2.04	2.79	4.65	Watch
	1.62	3.8	5.5
	1.76	3.7	5.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.64)	3.56 ↓ (3.97)	5.31 ↓ (5.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
55%

Draw
27%

Sunderland
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

24.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

23.3%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crystal Palace, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.9%	18.7%	8.3%

Crystal Palace - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 34 - 72.3%). Sunderland will win (votes: 4 - 8.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 19.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 59.5% – 85.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Sunderland (votes: 4 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Sunderland (1.67) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Sunderland (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 10 - 47.6%). Sunderland (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henderson D. (G) 26. Richards C. 5. Lacroix M. 6. Guehi M. (C) 2. Munoz D. 19. Hughes W. 8. Lerma J. 3. Mitchell T. 10. Pino Y. 18. Kamada D. 14. Mateta J.	22. Roefs R. (G) 32. Hume T. 20. Mukiele N. 15. Alderete O. 17. Mandava R. 19. Diarra H. 34. Xhaka G. (C) 27. Sadiki N. 7. Talbi C. 18. Isidor W. 24. Adingra S.
Substitutes
44. Benitez W. (G) 23. Canvot J. 59. Cardines R. 17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 21. Esse R. 42. Rodney K. 24. Sosa B. 12. Uche C.	9. Brobbey B. 6. Geertruida L. 50. Jones H. 26. Masuaku A. 12. Mayenda E. 4. Neil D. 1. Patterson A. (G) 11. Rigg C. 25. Traore B.
Coaches
Glasner O.	Le Bris R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Munoz D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', Lerma J. ↓, Devenny J. ↑,
69', Adingra S. ↓, Brobbey B. ↑,
77', Roefs R. 🟨,
84', Pino Y. ↓, Uche C. ↑,
84', Sadiki N. ↓, Geertruida L. ↑,
90+4', Isidor W. ↓, Rigg C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 2.

Crystal Palace is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Sunderland has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Sunderland has had a series of home games.

In this match, Crystal Palace is the team to beat.

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Nketiah E. (Hamstring Injury) Riad C. (Knee Injury) Sarr I. (Thigh Injury) Wharton A. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Sunderland: Cirkin D. (Wrist Injury) Hjelde L. F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Kporha C. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Sunderland: Alese A. (Shoulder Injury) Ballard D. (Groin Injury) O'Nien L. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
31.08.25	Aston Villa - Crystal Palace	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Fredrikstad - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.08.25	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Crystal Palace - Fredrikstad	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
17.08.25	Chelsea - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WTTWT
- Sunderland AFC
English Premier League
30.08.25	Sunderland - Brentford	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Sunderland - Huddersfield Town	1:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
23.08.25	Burnley - Sunderland	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Sunderland - West Ham United	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Sunderland - Rayo Vallecano	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
04.02.17	Crystal Palace - Sunderland	0:4
24.09.16	Sunderland - Crystal Palace	2:3
01.03.16	Sunderland - Crystal Palace	2:2
23.11.15	Crystal Palace - Sunderland	0:1
11.04.15	Sunderland - Crystal Palace	1:4
03.11.14	Crystal Palace - Sunderland	1:3
15.03.14	Sunderland - Crystal Palace	0:0

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