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West Ham United - Sunderland

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Match Info

  • Premier League - Round 23
  • Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: London Stadium (London) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)
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    West Ham United Sunderland
    West Ham United Sunderland
    1 X 2
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    (Initially)    		 2.29 ↓
    (2.42)    		 3.33 ↓
    (3.43)    		 3.25 ↑
    (2.96)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    West Ham United
    41.8%    		Draw
    28.8%    		Sunderland
    29.4%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    39.6% 28% 32.4%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    39.9% 28.2% 31.9%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • West Ham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    50% 27.5% 22.5%

    West Ham United - Sunderland Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. West Ham will win (votes: 20 - 51.3%). Sunderland will win (votes: 8 - 20.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 28.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for West Ham: 35.6% โ€“ 67%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. West Ham (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Sunderland (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Sunderland (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Sunderland (1.66) (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. West Ham (votes: 8 - 40%). Sunderland (votes: 8 - 40%). Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    23. FranceAreola A. (G)
    29. DRWan-Bissaka A.
    15. GreeceMavropanos K.
    25. FranceTodibo J.
    30. EnglandScarles O.
    20. EnglandBowen J. (C)
    18. PortugalFernandes M.
    28. CzechSoucek T.
      7. NetherlandsSummerville C.
    19. BrazilPablo
    11. ArgentinaCastellanos T.
    		22. NetherlandsRoefs R. (G)
    20. FranceMukiele N.
      5. NorthernBallard D.
    15. ParaguayAlderete O.
    17. MozambiqueMandava R.
    32. NorthernHume T. (C)
    27. DRSadiki N.
    28. FranceLe Fee E.
    14. EnglandMundle R.
    12. SpainMayenda E.
      9. NetherlandsBrobbey B.
    Substitutes
    12. SenegalDiouf M.
      1. DenmarkHermansen M. (G)
    55. FranceKante M.
      3. EnglandKilman M.
    27. FranceMagassa S.
    32. EnglandPotts F.
      2. EnglandWalker-Peters K.
      8. EnglandWard-Prowse J.
      9. EnglandWilson C.
    		24. IvoryAdingra S.
      3. EnglandCirkin D.
    19. SenegalDiarra H.
      6. NetherlandsGeertruida L.
    18. FranceIsidor W.
    13. EnglandO'Nien L.
      1. EnglandPatterson A. (G)
    11. EnglandRigg C.
      7. MoroccoTalbi C.
    Coaches
         PortugalEspirito Santo N.
    		     FranceLe Bris R.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (3 - 0)
    • 14', 1 - 0, Summerville C. ⚽, Bowen J. (A),
    • 28', 2 - 0, Bowen J. (Penalty Awarded),
    • 30', Ballard D. 🟨,
    • 35', Mandava R. 🟨,
    • 43', 3 - 0, Fernandes M. ⚽,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
    • 46', Mundle R. ↓, Talbi C. ↑,
    • 46', Mandava R. ↓, Cirkin D. ↑,
    • 46', Hume T. ↓, Diarra H. ↑,
    • 66', 3 - 1, Brobbey B. ⚽, Mukiele N. (A),
    • 70', Pablo ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
    • 70', Scarles O. ↓, Diouf M. ↑,
    • 72', Castellanos T. 🟨,
    • 75', Castellanos T. ↓, Potts F. ↑,
    • 75', Mayenda E. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
    • 80', Sadiki N. 🟨,
    • 84', Mukiele N. ↓, O'Nien L. ↑,
    • 88', Diarra H. 🟨,
    • 90+1', Fernandes M. 🟨,
    • 90+4', Summerville C. ↓, Kilman M. ↑,
    • 90+4', Isidor W. 🟨,

    Preview

  • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 9).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 2.
  • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
  • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
  • There will not play in West Ham: Fabianski L. (Back Injury) Lucas Paqueta (Inactive)
  • There will not play in Sunderland: Masuaku A. (Ankle Injury) Traore B. (Knee Injury)
  • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1:1.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, West Ham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 0.8:0.2).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    20Sunderland81256:14-85

    Outrights of English Premier League for now
    Sunderland: 0.12%
    Last Results with these Odds

    West Ham United - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 39.63%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - West Ham United
    English Premier League
    17.01.26 Tottenham Hotspur - West Ham United 1:2 ✺
    English FA Cup
    11.01.26 West Ham United - Queens Park Rangers 2:1 ET ✺
    English Premier League
    06.01.26 West Ham United - Nottingham Forest 1:2 ✺
    03.01.26 Wolverhampton Wanderers - West Ham United 3:0 ✺
    30.12.25 West Ham United - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4
    WWLLT
    - Sunderland AFC
    English Premier League
    17.01.26 Sunderland - Crystal Palace 2:1 ✺
    English FA Cup
    10.01.26 Everton - Sunderland 1:2 penalties ✺
    English Premier League
    07.01.26 Brentford - Sunderland 3:0 ✺
    04.01.26 Tottenham Hotspur - Sunderland 1:1 ✺
    01.01.26 Sunderland - Manchester City 0:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6
    WWLTT
    Latest Head to Head
    English Premier League
    16.08.25 Sunderland - West Ham United 3:0
    15.04.17 Sunderland - West Ham United 2:2
    22.10.16 West Ham United - Sunderland 1:0
    27.02.16 West Ham United - Sunderland 1:0
    03.10.15 Sunderland - West Ham United 2:2
    21.03.15 West Ham United - Sunderland 1:0
    13.12.14 Sunderland - West Ham United 1:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - West Ham United
    English League Championship
    04.11.26 Cardiff City - West Ham United ✺
    31.10.26 West Ham United - West Bromwich Albion ✺
    - Sunderland AFC
    UEFA Europa League
    05.11.26 Sunderland - Dinamo Zagreb ✺
    English Premier League
    31.10.26 Coventry City - Sunderland ✺

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