Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: London Stadium (London)

Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Canal+, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Amazon Prime Video
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 5, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, SuperSport 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Amazon Prime Video
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1, Varzish Sport
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Sport 24


	West Ham United		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.25
	2.5	3.25	2.85
	2.25	3.4	3.3
	2.31	3.4	3.41
	2.29	3.41	3.33	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.2
	2.28	3.41	3.36	Watch
	2.22	3.33	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.42)	3.33 ↓ (3.43)	3.25 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Ham United
41.8%

Draw
28.8%

Sunderland
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

28%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

28.4%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Ham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	27.5%	22.5%

West Ham United - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. West Ham will win (votes: 20 - 51.3%). Sunderland will win (votes: 8 - 20.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 28.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for West Ham: 35.6% – 67%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. West Ham (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Sunderland (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sunderland (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sunderland (1.66) (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. West Ham (votes: 8 - 40%). Sunderland (votes: 8 - 40%). Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Areola A. (G) 29. Wan-Bissaka A. 15. Mavropanos K. 25. Todibo J. 30. Scarles O. 20. Bowen J. (C) 18. Fernandes M. 28. Soucek T. 7. Summerville C. 19. Pablo 11. Castellanos T.	22. Roefs R. (G) 20. Mukiele N. 5. Ballard D. 15. Alderete O. 17. Mandava R. 32. Hume T. (C) 27. Sadiki N. 28. Le Fee E. 14. Mundle R. 12. Mayenda E. 9. Brobbey B.
Substitutes
12. Diouf M. 1. Hermansen M. (G) 55. Kante M. 3. Kilman M. 27. Magassa S. 32. Potts F. 2. Walker-Peters K. 8. Ward-Prowse J. 9. Wilson C.	24. Adingra S. 3. Cirkin D. 19. Diarra H. 6. Geertruida L. 18. Isidor W. 13. O'Nien L. 1. Patterson A. (G) 11. Rigg C. 7. Talbi C.
Coaches
Espirito Santo N.	Le Bris R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Summerville C. ⚽, Bowen J. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Bowen J. (Penalty Awarded),
30', Ballard D. 🟨,
35', Mandava R. 🟨,
43', 3 - 0, Fernandes M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mundle R. ↓, Talbi C. ↑,
46', Mandava R. ↓, Cirkin D. ↑,
46', Hume T. ↓, Diarra H. ↑,
66', 3 - 1, Brobbey B. ⚽, Mukiele N. (A),
70', Pablo ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
70', Scarles O. ↓, Diouf M. ↑,
72', Castellanos T. 🟨,
75', Castellanos T. ↓, Potts F. ↑,
75', Mayenda E. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
80', Sadiki N. 🟨,
84', Mukiele N. ↓, O'Nien L. ↑,
88', Diarra H. 🟨,
90+1', Fernandes M. 🟨,
90+4', Summerville C. ↓, Kilman M. ↑,
90+4', Isidor W. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in West Ham: Fabianski L. (Back Injury) Lucas Paqueta (Inactive)

There will not play in Sunderland: Masuaku A. (Ankle Injury) Traore B. (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, West Ham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 0.8:0.2).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Sunderland: 0.13%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Sunderland	6	1	1	4	6:12	-6	4

Last Results with these Odds

West Ham United - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 39.63%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Sunderland - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 32.4%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Ham United
English Premier League
17.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - West Ham United	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.26	West Ham United - Queens Park Rangers	2:1 ET ✺
English Premier League
06.01.26	West Ham United - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - West Ham United	3:0 ✺
30.12.25	West Ham United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLLT
- Sunderland AFC
English Premier League
17.01.26	Sunderland - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Everton - Sunderland	1:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Brentford - Sunderland	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
01.01.26	Sunderland - Manchester City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
16.08.25	Sunderland - West Ham United	3:0
15.04.17	Sunderland - West Ham United	2:2
22.10.16	West Ham United - Sunderland	1:0
27.02.16	West Ham United - Sunderland	1:0
03.10.15	Sunderland - West Ham United	2:2
21.03.15	West Ham United - Sunderland	1:0
13.12.14	Sunderland - West Ham United	1:1

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