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Sunderland - Manchester City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Premier League - Round 19
  • Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday
  • Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
  • Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Sunderland Manchester City
    Sunderland Manchester City
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    (Initially)    		 7.53 ↑
    (5.94)    		 4.87 ↑
    (4.56)    		 1.42 ↓
    (1.5)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

    • The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Sunderland
    12.7%    		Draw
    19.7%    		Manchester City
    67.6%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    16% 20.8% 63.2%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    15.6% 20.2% 65%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    5.7% 8% 86.2%

    Sunderland - Manchester City Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Sunderland (7.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.75 - Man City (2.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (73 of 84 users predict this - 86.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.68% – 94.12%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 1 - 3.3%). Man City (votes: 26 - 86.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    22. NetherlandsRoefs R. (G)
    32. NorthernHume T.
    20. FranceMukiele N.
    15. ParaguayAlderete O.
      3. EnglandCirkin D.
    34. SwitzerlandXhaka G. (C)
      6. NetherlandsGeertruida L.
    12. SpainMayenda E.
    28. FranceLe Fee E.
    24. IvoryAdingra S.
      9. NetherlandsBrobbey B.
    		25. ItalyDonnarumma G. (G)
    27. PortugalNunes M.
      3. PortugalDias R.
      6. NetherlandsAke N.
    33. EnglandO'Reilly N.
    20. PortugalSilva B. (C)
    14. SpainNico
    47. EnglandFoden P.
    26. BrazilSavinho
    10. FranceCherki R.
      9. NorwayHaaland E.
    Substitutes
    33. NorwayHjelde L. F.
    18. FranceIsidor W.
    50. EnglandJones H.
    14. EnglandMundle R.
      4. EnglandNeil D.
    13. EnglandO'Nien L.
      1. EnglandPatterson A. (G)
    11. EnglandRigg C.
    57. UkraineTuterov T.
    		11. BelgiumDoku J.
    24. CroatiaGvardiol J.
    92. EnglandHeskey R.
    45. UzbekistanKhusanov A.
    82. EnglandLewis R.
    63. EnglandMukasa D.
      4. NetherlandsReijnders T.
    16. SpainRodri
      1. EnglandTrafford J. (G)
    Coaches
         FranceLe Bris R.
    		     SpainGuardiola P.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 45+5', Adingra S. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 46', Nico ↓, Rodri ↑,
    • 52', Savinho ↓, Doku J. ↑,
    • 57', O'Reilly N. ↓, Gvardiol J. ↑,
    • 58', Brobbey B. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
    • 72', Adingra S. ↓, Mundle R. ↑,
    • 77', Ake N. 🟨,
    • 86', Silva B. ↓, Reijnders T. ↑,

    Preview

  • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 0.
  • Sunderland has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Man City is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
  • In this match, Man City is the undeniable favorite.
  • There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Shoulder Injury) Diarra H. (International duty) Mandava R. (International duty) Masuaku A. (International duty) Sadiki N. (International duty) Talbi C. (International duty) Traore B. (International duty)
  • There will not play in Man City: Ait Nouri R. (International duty) Bobb O. (Hamstring Injury) Kovacic M. (Heel Injury) Marmoush O. (International duty) Stones J. (Thigh Injury)
  • There are questionable in Sunderland: Ballard D. (Ankle Injury)
  • There are questionable in Man City: Doku J. (Leg Injury)
  • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:35. (average 0.9:2.3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Sunderland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.7:1.8).

    • Outrights of English Premier League for now
    Manchester City: 17.65% Sunderland: 0.15%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Manchester City550013:5815
    14Sunderland51136:10-44

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Sunderland AFC
    English Premier League
    28.12.25 Sunderland - Leeds United 1:1 ✺
    20.12.25 Brighton & Hove Albion - Sunderland 0:0 ✺
    14.12.25 Sunderland - Newcastle United 1:0 ✺
    06.12.25 Manchester City - Sunderland 3:0 ✺
    03.12.25 Liverpool - Sunderland 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6
    TTWLT
    - Manchester City
    English Premier League
    27.12.25 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 1:2 ✺
    20.12.25 Manchester City - West Ham United 3:0 ✺
    English League Cup
    17.12.25 Manchester City - Brentford 2:0 ✺
    English Premier League
    14.12.25 Crystal Palace - Manchester City 0:3 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    10.12.25 Real Madrid - Manchester City 1:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3
    WWWWW
    Latest Head to Head
    English Premier League
    06.12.25 Manchester City - Sunderland 3:0
    05.03.17 Sunderland - Manchester City 0:2
    13.08.16 Manchester City - Sunderland 2:1
    02.02.16 Sunderland - Manchester City 0:1
    26.12.15 Manchester City - Sunderland 4:1
    English League Cup
    22.09.15 Sunderland - Manchester City 1:4
    English Premier League
    01.01.15 Manchester City - Sunderland 3:2
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Sunderland AFC
    UEFA Europa League
    15.10.26 Torreense - Sunderland ✺
    English Premier League
    10.10.26 Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion ✺
    - Manchester City
    UEFA Champions League
    14.10.26 Manchester City - Paris Saint-Germain ✺
    English Premier League
    11.10.26 Liverpool - Manchester City ✺

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