The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
West Ham United 62%
Draw 22.9%
Watford 15.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.3%
19.2%
13.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
78.4%
16.5%
11.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
West Ham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that West Ham United's form might have worsened.
Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (+16.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for West Ham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83%
9.5%
7.5%
West Ham United - Watford Predictions
Users Predictions:
West Ham United will win
(166 of 200 users predict this - 83%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.79% – 88.21%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
West Ham has the most likely position - 7 (19.22%), has project points - 58, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Watford has the most likely position - 19 (23.28%), has project points - 31, has currently - 15, has a good chance of relegated (64%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches West Ham is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Watford is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match West Ham is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches West Ham won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22-16.
Including matches at home between the teams West Ham won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.
Watch
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