The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leicester City 41.6%
Draw 27.7%
Watford 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.8%
27.4%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
27.1%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
67.9%
14.3%
17.9%
Leicester City - Watford Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). Watford will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 50.6% – 85.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Watford (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leicester City will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Leicester (votes: 6 - 75%). Watford (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Stolarczyk J. (G) 21. Pereira R. (C) 4. Nelson B. 5. Okoli C. 33. Thomas L. 6. James J. 22. Skipp O. 7. Fatawu I. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 10. Mavididi S. 9. Ayew J.
1. Selvik E. (G) 2. Ngakia J. 6. Pollock M. 3. Alleyne M. 16. Bola M. 7. Ince T. 5. Kyprianou H. 10. Louza I. (C) 42. Maamma O. 8. Chakvetadze G. 9. Kjerrumgaard L.
Substitutes
56. Aluko O. 31. Begovic A. (G) 18. Carranza J. 17. Choudhury H. 3. Faes W. 28. Monga J. 25. Page L. 30. Ramsey A. 39. Thomas S.
25. Abankwah J. 12. Baxter N. (G) 66. Irankunda N. 4. Keben K. 23. Mendy N. 22. Morris J. 29. Petris J. 18. Semedo V. 17. Sissoko M.
Coaches
Cifuentes M.
Gracia J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, James J. ⚽, Ayew J. (A),
19', Fatawu I. 🟨,
42', Skipp O. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Maamma O. ⚽, Louza I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Louza I. 🟨,
61', Kyprianou H. 🟨,
63', Mavididi S. 🟨,
65', 1 - 2, Pollock M. ⚽, Louza I. (A),
66', Ince T. ↓, Irankunda N. ↑,
69', Mavididi S. ↓, Monga J. ↑,
75', De Cordova-Reid B. ↓, Ramsey A. ↑,
80', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Semedo V. ↑,
80', Maamma O. ↓, Sissoko M. ↑,
87', Pereira R. ↓, Thomas S. ↑,
87', Skipp O. ↓, Choudhury H. ↑,
90+1', Chakvetadze G. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 5.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Leicester will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Leicester: Daka P.
(International duty)
Soumare B.
(Knee Injury)
Souttar H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Watford: Baah K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Doumbia M.
(International duty)
Grieves J.
(Ankle Injury)
Kayembe E.
(International duty)
Vata R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wiley C.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Leicester: Kristiansen V.
(Knock)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:20. (average 2.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Leicester won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:8. (average 2.3:0.7).
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Stolarczyk J. (G) 
Pereira R. (C) 
Nelson B. 
Okoli C. 
James J. 
Fatawu I. 
De Cordova-Reid B. 
Mavididi S. 
Selvik E. (G) 
Kyprianou H. 
Louza I. (C) 
Chakvetadze G. 
Kjerrumgaard L. 
Begovic A. (G) 
Carranza J. 
Choudhury H. 
Faes W. 
Abankwah J. 
Irankunda N. 
Keben K. 
Mendy N. 
Petris J. 
Cifuentes M. 
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