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Current Win Probability
Watford 17.2%
Draw 23%
Tottenham Hotspur 59.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.7%
25.8%
52.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.8%
17.1%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Tottenham Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tottenham Hotspur's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+15.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Watford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (-25.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tottenham Hotspur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.4%
6.7%
76.9%
Watford - Tottenham Hotspur Predictions
Users Predictions:
134 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 22 - 16.4%). Tottenham will win (votes: 103 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 6.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tottenham: 69.8% – 84%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 7).
Watford has the most likely position - 18 (20.06%), has project points - 35, has currently - 13, has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Tottenham has the most likely position - 5 (19.31%), has project points - 62, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (21%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Watford has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Tottenham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Tottenham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Tottenham have a series of home games.
In this match Tottenham is a favorite.
Tottenham is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Last 13 head-to-head matches Watford won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11-23.
Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.
Watch
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