The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wigan Athletic 33.6%
Draw 30%
Hull City 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
29.2%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
29.5%
28.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wigan Athletic's form might have worsened.
Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hull City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wigan Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hull City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
28.6%
57.1%
Wigan Athletic - Hull City Predictions
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 6 - 14.3%). Hull will win (votes: 24 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 28.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 42.1% – 72.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 18).
Wigan has the most likely position - 24 (22.24%), has project points - 47, has currently - 24, has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Hull has the most likely position - 21 (10.88%), has project points - 53, has currently - 30, has a chance of relegated (25%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality35, importance48, match rating41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Wigan won 2.
Wigan is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Hull is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Hull could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Wigan: Hughes C.
(Injury)
Kerr J.
(Injury)
Whatmough J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Hull: Baxter N.
(Injury)
Covil V.
(Injury)
Emmanuel J.
(Injury)
M'Hand S.
(Injury)
Pelkas D.
(Injury)
Tetteh B.
(Injury)
Traore A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Wigan: Edmonds-Green R.
(Illness)
Pearce T.
(Injury)
Wyke Ch.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Hull: Coyle L.
(Injury)
Sinik D.
(Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Wigan won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.
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