Match Info

Championship - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)


	Birmingham City		Hull City

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.76	3.69	4.67	Watch
	1.82	3.71	4.6
	4.40	3.11	1.94	Watch
	1.75	3.68	4.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.8)	3.59 ↓ (3.62)	4.04 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
45.4%

Draw
28.9%

Hull City
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

26.1%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

29.2%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Birmingham City's form might have worsened.

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hull City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	8.3%	33.3%

Birmingham City - Hull City Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Hull will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Beadle J. (G) 24. Iwata T. 4. Klarer C. (C) 6. Robinson J. 20. Cochrane A. 8. Paik Seung-Ho 12. Leonard M. 14. Anderson K. 16. Roberts P. 10. Gray D. 28. Stansfield J.	1. Pandur I. (G) 2. Coyle L. (C) 15. Egan J. 4. Hughes C. 3. Giles R. 20. Hadziahmetovic A. 27. Slater R. 21. Gelhardt J. 22. Joseph K. 11. Akintola B. 9. McBurnie O.
Substitutes
21. Allsop R. (G) 7. Doyle T. 17. Dykes L. 27. Fujimoto K. 9. Furuhashi K. 30. Koumas L. 5. Neumann P. 26. Osayi-Samuel B. 23. Sampsted A.	6. Ajayi S. 25. Crooks M. 39. Destan E. 18. Drameh C. 23. Famewo A. 24. Gyabi D. 7. Millar L. 19. Ndala J. 12. Phillips D. (G)
Coaches
Davies C.	Jakirovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Robinson J. (Own goal),
16', Coyle L. 🟨,
20', Akintola B. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Stansfield J. ⚽,
45', Stansfield J. 🟨,
45', Gelhardt J. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 2, Slater R. ⚽, Coyle L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Akintola B. ↓, Crooks M. ↑,
50', Coyle L. ↓, Drameh C. ↑,
54', Beadle J. 🟨,
59', Robinson J. 🟨,
59', Robinson J. 🟨,
63', Anderson K. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
63', Leonard M. ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
68', Crooks M. 🟨,
70', McBurnie O. ↓, Millar L. ↑,
70', Hadziahmetovic A. ↓, Gyabi D. ↑,
76', Pandur I. 🟨,
80', Joseph K. ↓, Destan E. ↑,
83', Egan J. 🟨,
83', Cochrane A. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
84', Paik Seung-Ho ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Gelhardt J. ⚽, Millar L. (A),
90+6', 2 - 3, Stansfield J. (Pen),
90+8', Destan E. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 16 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Hull may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Birmingham is the team to beat.

There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Ducksch M. (Calf Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Willumsson W. T. (Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Hull: Belloumi M. (Hamstring Injury) Matazo E. (Knee Injury) Williams B. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Birmingham: Osayi-Samuel B. (Foot Injury) Stansfield J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Hull: Lundstram J. (Calf Injury) Vaughan H. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:36. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League Championship
03.10.25	Wrexham - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Birmingham City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Coventry City - Birmingham City	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Birmingham City - Swansea City	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Stoke City - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTLWL
- Hull City
English League Championship
04.10.25	Hull City - Sheffield United	1:0 ✺
30.09.25	Hull City - Preston North End	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Watford - Hull City	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Hull City - Southampton	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Swansea City - Hull City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
05.03.24	Hull City - Birmingham City	1:1
English FA Cup
16.01.24	Birmingham City - Hull City	2:1
06.01.24	Hull City - Birmingham City	1:1
English League Championship
25.10.23	Birmingham City - Hull City	0:2
30.12.22	Birmingham City - Hull City	0:1
16.10.22	Hull City - Birmingham City	0:2
12.03.22	Birmingham City - Hull City	0:0

Upcoming Matches