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Current Win Probability
Middlesbrough 58.2%
Draw 25%
Wigan Athletic 16.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
26.6%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.8%
25.5%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
65.1%
11.6%
23.3%
Middlesbrough - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 28 - 65.1%). Wigan will win (votes: 10 - 23.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 50.9% – 79.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Middlesbrough has the most likely position - 5 (7.93%), has project points - 68, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (29%), has a small chance of promoted (15%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Wigan has the most likely position - 23 (13.18%), has project points - 51, has currently - 24, has a chance of relegated (38%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality43, importance34, match rating38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 3.
Middlesbrough is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Wigan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Middlesbrough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Middlesbrough have a series of guest games.
In this match Middlesbrough is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Middlesbrough to win the game is with odds 1.65.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
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