Match Info

Date: 19 October 2022, Wednesday

Location: DW Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)


	Wigan Athletic		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.7
	2.85	3.1	2.6
	3	3.2	2.55
	2.75	3.05	2.65
	2.93	3.12	2.74
	2.75	3	2.7
	2.81	3.2	2.62	Watch
	2.9	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.53)	3.12 ↑ (3.08)	2.64 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
33.4%

Draw
30.5%

Middlesbrough
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

30.2%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

30.1%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.9%	31.2%	21.9%

Wigan Athletic - Middlesbrough Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 15 - 46.9%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 7 - 21.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wigan: 29.6% – 64.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 17 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Wigan has the most likely position - 21 (6.34%), has project points - 58, has currently - 19, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (9%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Middlesbrough has the most likely position - 18 (5.67%), has project points - 59, has currently - 13, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 42, small importance 26, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wigan won 0.

Recent matches Wigan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Middlesbrough is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Middlesbrough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Wigan: Edwards G. (Injury) Lang C. (Injury)

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Fisher D. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Wigan won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League Championship
15.10.22	Sunderland - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
11.10.22	Wigan Athletic - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	Wigan Athletic - Cardiff City	1:3 ✺
05.10.22	Hull City - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Rotherham United - Wigan Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLLW
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
15.10.22	Middlesbrough - Blackburn Rovers	1:2 ✺
08.10.22	Millwall - Middlesbrough	2:0 ✺
05.10.22	Middlesbrough - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Coventry City - Middlesbrough	1:0 ✺
17.09.22	Middlesbrough - Rotherham United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
11.02.20	Wigan Athletic - Middlesbrough	2:2
20.08.19	Middlesbrough - Wigan Athletic	1:0
02.03.19	Wigan Athletic - Middlesbrough	0:0
10.11.18	Middlesbrough - Wigan Athletic	2:0
03.04.15	Middlesbrough - Wigan Athletic	1:0
22.11.14	Wigan Athletic - Middlesbrough	1:1
28.01.14	Middlesbrough - Wigan Athletic	0:0

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