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Current Win Probability
Norwich City 47.2%
Draw 25.7%
Burnley 27.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.2%
27%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.4%
26.9%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Norwich City's performance.
Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burnley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norwich City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burnley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.4%
9.1%
54.5%
Norwich City - Burnley Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Norwich will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Burnley will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 19% – 81%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (1.68) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kovacevic V. (G) 14. Chrisene B. 15. McConville R. 33. Cordoba J. 3. Stacey J. 7. Mattsson P. 23. McLean K. (C) 11. Brooks A. 29. Schwartau O. 49. Musaba A. 21. Toure M.
1. Weiss M. (G) 2. Walker K. (C) 15. Ahmedhodzic A. 3. Alleyne M. 14. Roberts C. 28. Mejbri H. 29. Laurent J. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 21. Ramsey A. 12. Satpaev D. 19. Flemming Z.
Substitutes
17. Crnac A. 6. Darling H. 19. Diallo P. A. 35. Fisher K. 32. Grimshaw D. (G) 30. Kvistgaarden M. 20. Slimane A. 16. Wright J. 13. Yongwa D.
11. Amdouni Z. 37. Coudert G. (G) 10. Edwards M. 18. Ekdal H. 17. Hountondji A. 8. Raghouber U. 20. Sambo S. 31. Tresor Ndayishimiye M. 4. Worrall J.
Coaches
Clement P.
Hayen N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Toure M. ⚽, Cordoba J. (A),
5', 2 - 0, Brooks A. ⚽, Musaba A. (A),
16', McConville R. 🟨,
21', 3 - 0, Toure M. ⚽,
27', 3 - 1, Laurent J. ⚽, Bruun Larsen J. (A),
28', Laurent J. 🟨,
29', Cordoba J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Musaba A. ↓, Diallo P. A. ↑,
62', Schwartau O. ↓, Slimane A. ↑,
63', Brooks A. 🟨,
63', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
64', Ramsey A. ↓, Amdouni Z. ↑,
65', Slimane A. 🟨,
67', 4 - 1, Brooks A. ⚽, Stacey J. (A),
71', Brooks A. ↓, Crnac A. ↑,
71', Flemming Z. 🟨,
71', Toure M. ↓, Kvistgaarden M. ↑,
77', Laurent J. 🟨,
78', Flemming Z. ↓, Hountondji A. ↑,
80', McLean K. ↓, Wright J. ↑,
82', Mejbri H. ↓, Raghouber U. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 1.
Norwich has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Burnley has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Norwich may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Norwich is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Norwich: Ahmed A.
(Knee Injury)
Cordoba J.
(Red Card)
Maghoma P.
(Calf Injury)
Mahovo L.
(Ankle Injury)
Topic M.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E.
(Injury)
Banel J.
(Injury)
Barnes A.
(Injury)
Beyer J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Cullen J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Norwich: Makama J.
(Foot Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Norwich won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
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Kovacevic V. (G) 
Chrisene B. 
McConville R. 
Cordoba J. 
Mattsson P. 
McLean K. (C) 
Brooks A. 
Musaba A. 
Toure M. 
Weiss M. (G) 
Roberts C. 
Mejbri H. 
Satpaev D. 
Crnac A. 
Diallo P. A. 
Yongwa D. 
Amdouni Z. 
Coudert G. (G) 
Ekdal H. 
Hountondji A. 
Sambo S. 
Tresor Ndayishimiye M. 
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