The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wigan Athletic 23.2%
Draw 24.9%
Reading 51.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.3%
25.4%
44.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.8%
24.9%
45.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wigan Athletic's form might have worsened.
Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reading's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wigan Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reading, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Wigan Athletic - Reading Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Reading (1.90) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Whitworth J. (G) 4. Chilokoa-Mullen J. 23. Carragher J. 5. Burns F. 2. Barrett C. 18. Gray C. 6. Weir J. (C) 16. Harris A. 10. Walsh R. 27. Burrowes B. 25. Hogan S.
1. Pereira J. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. 15. O'Connor P. 3. Dorsett A. J. R. 5. Roberts H. 4. Rinomhota A. 19. Lisbie K. 10. Wing L. (C) 32. Lane P. 28. Stokes J. 9. Reid J.
Substitutes
22. Mellish J. 21. Miller K. 7. Murray F. 9. Perkins S. 38. Saydee C. 19. Sze C. 1. Walsh J. (G)
18. Brown J. 6. Fraser L. 20. Knight J. 11. Kyerewaa D. 8. Savage C. 25. Stevens J. (G) 14. Williams R.
Coaches
Caldwell G.
Richardson L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Rinomhota A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Gray C. 🟨,
67', Walsh R. ↓, Saydee C. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Hogan S. ⚽,
74', Carragher J. 🟨,
74', Roberts H. 🟨,
77', Reid J. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
77', Rinomhota A. ↓, Savage C. ↑,
78', Burrowes B. ↓, Mellish J. ↑,
78', Hogan S. ↓, Perkins S. ↑,
82', Roberts H. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
85', Barrett C. ↓, Murray F. ↑,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 24th in the Relegation - League Two and 6th in the Promotion - League One Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 1.
Wigan is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Reading have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Wigan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Reading holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Wigan: Fox M.
(Inactive)
Harris L.
(Injury)
Trevitt R.
(Hamstring Injury).
Confirmed absences for Reading: Earthy G.
(Foot Injury)
Marriott J.
(Inactive)
Patton S.
(Foot Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Wigan: Costelloe D.
(Inactive)
Higgins A.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Wigan has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:28 (averaging 1.2:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Wigan against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 12:15 goals (averaging 1.2:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Reading
10
4
3
3
22:12
10
15
24
Wigan
9
2
1
6
6:13
-7
7
Outrights of English League One for now
Reading: 7.88% Wigan: 0.68%
Last Results with these Odds
Wigan Athletic - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 30.33%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.
Reading - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.28%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Whitworth J. (G) 
Chilokoa-Mullen J. 
Carragher J. 
Harris A. 
Hogan S. 
Pereira J. (G) 
Dorsett A. J. R. 
Rinomhota A. 
Lane P. 
Fraser L. 
Kyerewaa D. 
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