Match Info

Date: 9 May 2021, Sunday


	Wigan Athletic		Swindon Town

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.8	4.75
	1.78	3.7	4.2
	1.75	4	4.35
	1.75	3.8	4.1
	1.76	4.12	4.47
	1.75	3.7	4.2
	1.79	4.15	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.85)	3.9 ↑ (3.82)	4.36 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
53.9%

Draw
24.3%

Swindon Town
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

24.8%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

19.6%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wigan Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Wigan Athletic - Swindon Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Swindon is Relegated to League Two

Wigan has the most likely position - 20 (74.22%), has project points - 50, has currently - 48, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Swindon has the most likely position - 23 (95.69%), has project points - 41, has currently - 40, was already of relegated.

Wigan is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Swindon is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Wigan is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Wigan won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League One
01.05.21	Hull City - Wigan Athletic	3:1 ✺
24.04.21	Wigan Athletic - Burton Albion	1:1 ✺
20.04.21	Shrewsbury Town - Wigan Athletic	1:2 ✺
17.04.21	Wigan Athletic - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
13.04.21	Wigan Athletic - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LTWWW
- Swindon Town
English League One
01.05.21	Swindon Town - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
24.04.21	Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town	5:0 ✺
20.04.21	Swindon Town - Portsmouth	3:1 ✺
17.04.21	AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town	4:1 ✺
13.04.21	Rochdale - Swindon Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
02.02.21	Swindon Town - Wigan Athletic	1:0
25.03.16	Swindon Town - Wigan Athletic	1:4
31.10.15	Wigan Athletic - Swindon Town	1:0

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