Match Info
Date: 20 April 2021, Tuesday
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 |
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 |
|
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Swindon Town |
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Portsmouth |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
5 |
3.8 |
1.66 |
|
 |
4.5 |
3.8 |
1.7 |
|
 |
4.6 |
3.95 |
1.72 |
|
 |
4.6 |
3.75 |
1.68 |
|
 |
4.94 |
4 |
1.71 |
|
 |
4.75 |
3.6 |
1.7 |
|
 |
5.1 |
4.1 |
1.71 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.78 ↑
(3.87) |
3.86 ↑
(3.62) |
1.7 ↓
(1.91) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Swindon Town
19.8% | Draw
24.5% | Portsmouth
55.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portsmouth's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portsmouth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Swindon Town - Portsmouth Predictions
Users Predictions:
Portsmouth will win
(30 of 32 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.36% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation to League Two and 7).Swindon has a very good chance of relegated (98%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.Portsmouth has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (57%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has not chance of win league. Swindon has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Recent matches Portsmouth is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). In this match Portsmouth is a favorite. Recent matches Portsmouth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5. Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
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