The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Willem II 40.6%
Draw 24.7%
De Graafschap 34.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.3%
23.7%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
23.1%
33.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
22.2%
11.1%
Willem II - De Graafschap Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Graafschap will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 44.9% – 88.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Didillon Hodl T. (G) 46. Scheepens K. 30. Behounek R. 4. Hoogma J. (C) 22. van Loon P. 7. Doodeman N. 8. Twigt C. 18. Zarrouk A. 20. El Allouchi M. 47. Baartmans S. 28. Verheydt T.
1. Wieggers T. (G) 2. Martens N. 3. Besselink R. 15. Kok T. 5. Schoppema L. 17. Kaninda N. 24. Meerstadt J. 8. Gijselhart T. 19. El Allachi C. 10. Niemeijer R. (C) 9. Eggens N.
Substitutes
23. Abildgaard L. 17. Bamba S. 6. Besselink G. 11. Culum A. 49. de Jonge M. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 43. de Ruijter F. 48. Poortvliet J. 19. van Aalst U. 21. van der Steen W. (G)
27. Ahmeti N. 18. Bultman S. 22. de Jong F. 38. Eijken D. 14. Hardeman J. 25. Jonkers R. (G) 12. Kremers S. (G) 40. Kwint K. 7. Simons J. 6. Smits M. 21. Symons K.
Coaches
Stegeman J.
Dijkhuizen M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, El Allachi C. ⚽, Meerstadt J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Twigt C. 🟨,
61', El Allachi C. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Simons J. ⚽,
71', Baartmans S. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
71', Zarrouk A. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
71', El Allouchi M. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
79', Twigt C. 🟨,
81', Kaninda N. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
81', Eggens N. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
82', Doodeman N. ↓, Besselink G. ↑,
83', Schoppema L. 🟨,
86', Gijselhart T. ↓, Symons K. ↑,
86', Schoppema L. ↓, Smits M. ↑,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 4.
Willem II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
De Graafschap's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
De Graafschap may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, De Graafschap has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Schuurman J.
(Knock)
Tjoe a On N.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Willem II: Ciranni A.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 2.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 2.7:1.3).