Match Info

Eredivisie - Relegation - Play Offs - Final

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	ESPN 1, ESPN Extra


	Willem II		Telstar

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.7	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.6
	2.05	3.75	3.5	Watch
	2.08	3.37	3.82
	2.1	3.52	3.46	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.6
	2.08	3.54	3.47	Watch
	2.05	3.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.95)	3.52 ↓ (3.6)	3.58 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Willem II
46.4%

Draw
27.1%

Telstar
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

26.6%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

27.4%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Willem II - Telstar Predictions

Users Predictions: Willem II will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Willem II will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Didillon T. (G) 33. St. Jago T. 6. Lambert B. 30. Behounek R. 22. Nizet R. 8. Bosch J. (C) 14. Sandra C. 34. Lachkar A. 11. Kehrer E. 18. Bokila J. 16. Meerveld R.	1. Koeman R. (G) 3. Apau M. (C) 21. Koswal D. 6. Bakker D. 11. Noslin T. 4. Offerhaus G. 25. Owusu T. 2. Hardeveld J. 17. Rossen N. 14. Kaandorp M. 9. El Kachati Y.
Substitutes
7. Doodeman N. 17. Joosten P. 77. Kaygin D. 15. Pivas M. 4. Schouten E. 41. Schut M. (G) 5. Sigurgeirsson R. 19. Sylla Y. 9. Vaesen K. 51. van Aalst U. 24. van den Berg C. (G) 50. van Loon P.	28. Bodak T. (G) 16. Douiri A. 19. Hagedoorn S. 20. Houweling J. (G) 27. Kharchouch R. 23. Koubini R. 15. Lechkar A. 24. Olfers Y. 12. Overtoom T. 8. Turfkruier J. 18. van Ekeris R. 26. van Schooneveld J.
Coaches
Aelbrecht K.	Correia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Kaandorp M. ⚽, Owusu T. (A),
12', 0 - 2, El Kachati Y. ⚽, Kaandorp M. (A),
17', 1 - 2, Nizet R. ⚽,
22', Bakker D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 3, Kaandorp M. ⚽, Koswal D. (A),
64', Behounek R. ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
64', Sandra C. ↓, Doodeman N. ↑,
64', Kehrer E. ↓, Sigurgeirsson R. ↑,
71', Bosch J. ↓, Kaygin D. ↑,
72', Rossen N. ↓, Turfkruier J. ↑,
74', Bokila J. 🟨,
76', Bokila J. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
78', Kaandorp M. ↓, Overtoom T. ↑,
80', Nizet R. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
81', St. Jago T. 🟨,
90+5', Noslin T. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 3.

Recent performances by Willem II have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Telstar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Willem II will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Willem II: Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Razak K. (Injury) Tirpan M. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 2.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Willem II
Dutch Eredivisie
29.05.25	Telstar - Willem II	2:2 ✺
24.05.25	Willem II - Dordrecht	4:2 penalties ✺
21.05.25	Dordrecht - Willem II	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	NAC Breda - Willem II	1:1 ✺
14.05.25	Willem II - Zwolle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWLTL
- SC Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie
29.05.25	Telstar - Willem II	2:2 ✺
23.05.25	Telstar - Den Bosch	2:1 ET ✺
20.05.25	Den Bosch - Telstar	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	ADO Den Haag - Telstar	0:1 ✺
13.05.25	Telstar - ADO Den Haag	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
29.05.25	Telstar - Willem II	2:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.05.24	Willem II - Telstar	3:2
24.11.23	Telstar - Willem II	1:5
05.05.23	Telstar - Willem II	0:0
19.08.22	Willem II - Telstar	2:1
Club Friendly
09.07.22	Willem II - Telstar	2:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.04.14	Willem II - Telstar	4:0

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