Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 33

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Orlen Stadion (Płock)

Referee: Myc W. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Strike, Strike
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2, Arena Premium 5, Arena Sport 4
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Wisła Płock		Górnik Zabrze

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	2	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2.08	Watch
	3.62	3.41	2.14
	3.63	3.35	2.09	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.05
	3.49	3.34	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.05)	3.3 ↑ (3.2)	2.07 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock
26.7%

Draw
28.2%

Górnik Zabrze
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

28.8%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

27.4%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Wisła Płock - Górnik Zabrze Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Górnik Zabrze (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Leszczynski R. (G) 25. Mijuskovic N. 35. Kaminski M. 13. Lecoeuche Q. 21. Rogelj Z. 6. Pomorski K. 14. Kun D. 30. Nowak W. 19. Gallapeni D. 20. Sekulski L. (C) 99. Juric D.	1. Lubik M. (G) 16. Olkowski P. 26. Janicki R. (C) 20. Josema 67. Zmrzly O. 13. Sadilek L. 8. Hellebrand P. 14. Kubicki J. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 23. Liseth S. 33. Khlan M.
Substitutes
37. Bokhno M. 26. Burek J. (G) 2. Custovic K. 17. Djalo M. 77. Hamulic S. 16. Hiszpanski F. 9. Niarchos G. 66. Salvador I. 18. Sarapata D. 84. Tavares T.	18. Ambros L. 4. Bochniewicz P. 28. Donio B. 64. Janza E. 99. Loska T. (G) 17. Lukoszek K. 15. Massimo R. 92. Pietryga P. (G) 10. Podolski L. 36. Rakoczy M. 77. Rupanov B. 5. Szczesniak K.
Coaches
Misiura M.	Gasparik M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Sekulski L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Juric D. ↓, Hamulic S. ↑,
68', Sekulski L. ↓, Niarchos G. ↑,
70', Mijuskovic N. 🟨,
70', Zmrzly O. ↓, Janza E. ↑,
70', Hellebrand P. ↓, Ambros L. ↑,
70', Sadilek L. ↓, Podolski L. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Khlan M. ⚽, Ambros L. (A),
77', Pomorski K. ↓, Sarapata D. ↑,
78', Khlan M. ↓, Lukoszek K. ↑,
84', Ambros L. 🟨,
85', Ikia Dimi Y. ↓, Massimo R. ↑,
90+2', Lecoeuche Q. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 1.

Wisła Płock has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Górnik Zabrze is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wisła Płock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Górnik Zabrze will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Wisła Płock: Haglind-Sangre M. (Yellow Cards) Karamarko M. (Knee Injury) Savvidis K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Wisła Płock: Pacheco D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Górnik Zabrze: Sacek M. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Gornik Zabrze: 20.78% Wisla Plock: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	10	8	1	1	19:9	10	25
12	Wisla Plock	9	3	2	4	9:15	-6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.05.26	Wisła Płock - Motor Lublin	0:4 ✺
03.05.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Wisła Płock	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Wisła Płock - Radomiak Radom	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Płock	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Wisła Płock - Lechia Gdańsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWW
- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa
13.05.26	Arka Gdynia - Górnik Zabrze	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Górnik Zabrze - Zagłębie Lubin	0:2 ✺
Polish Cup
02.05.26	Górnik Zabrze - Raków Częstochowa	2:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.04.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Górnik Zabrze - Korona Kielce	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
21.11.25	Górnik Zabrze - Wisła Płock	1:1
17.03.23	Górnik Zabrze - Wisła Płock	3:2
05.09.22	Wisła Płock - Górnik Zabrze	1:1
04.04.22	Wisła Płock - Górnik Zabrze	3:2
02.10.21	Górnik Zabrze - Wisła Płock	4:2
24.04.21	Górnik Zabrze - Wisła Płock	0:2
07.12.20	Wisła Płock - Górnik Zabrze	0:1

Wisła Płock - Górnik Zabrze: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide